Angola Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Date: August 17, 2016
Pages: 85
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Angola's oil production is forecast to remain strong and unaffected by low oil prices, with output rising up until 2018. Post-2018, oil production will fall off due to a steep decline in rates on mature fields and no new projects forecast to counteract the declines. However, with plenty of pre-FID projects in the pipeline and a strong oil major presence, oil production risks lie to the upside. Gas production will remain limited throughout our forecast with weak domestic demand, but will benefit from the ALNG coming back online after two years of closure. The downstream outlook is bleak, as we have removed one of the two planned refineries from our forecast due to a lack of progress and the poor financial position of Sonangol.

Latest Updates And Key Trends
  • Angola will see continued exploration of its prospective offshore waters. However, we expect a slowdown in high-cost, high-risk ultra-deepwater and pre-salt drilling as companies look to rein in capital expenditure and exercise tighter fiscal discipline.
  • Cobalt's Zalophus-1 exploration well in Block 20, discovered a total of 570mn barrels of equivalent (boe), comprising 139mn barrels of condensate and 2.5 trillion cubic feet (tcf) of gas. The discovery is Cobalt's sixth pre-salt discovery offshore Angola and its third discovery in block 20. However, despite this remarkable run of exploration success, the Houston based company is in negotiations with Sonangol to sell its stake in the block, a possible sign of above-ground issues.
  • BP made a sizable discovery in Block 24, totalling 1.7bn boe, that comprises 280mn barrels of condensate and 8tcf of gas.
  • Isabella dos Santos has taken over as head of Sonangol, pledging to clean up the state oil company, making it more transparent and efficient while healing ties with international oil companies operating in Angola.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Headline Forecasts (Angola 2014-2020)
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Upstream Projects
  Table: Angola's Major Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Angola Key Projects Pre-FID
  Table: Oil Production (Angola 2014-2019)
  Table: Oil Production (Angola 2020-2025)
Upstream Production - Gas
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Gas Production (Angola 2014-2019)
  Table: Gas Production (Angola 2020-2025)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Angola 2014-2019)
  Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Angola 2020-2025)
Gas Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Gas Consumption (Angola 2014-2019)
  Table: Gas Consumption (Angola 2020-2025)
Trade - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts
  Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Angola 2014-2020)
  Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Angola 2020-2025)
Fuels Trade Forecasts
  Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Angola 2014-2019)
  Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Angola 2020-2025)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Gas Net Exports (Angola 2014-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Africa - Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
  Table: BMI Africa Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Above-Ground Risks Dulling Below-Ground Potential
  Table: BMI Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Downstream Sector Holds Limited Opportunity
  Table: BMI Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Angola - Risk/Reward Index
Upstream Index - Overview
Downstream Index - Overview
Market Overview
Angola Energy Market Overview
Fiscal Regime
  Table: Angola MPSA Main Fiscal Terms
Licensing Regime
  Table: Angola MPSA Main Contract Terms
Licensing Rounds
  Table: Angola 2015 Onshore Bid Round
Oil And Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
  Table: Angola Oil Refineries
Oil Storage Facilities
  Table: Angola Onshore Oil Storage Facilities
Oil Trade Facilities
  Table: Angola Oil Trade Facilities
LNG Terminals
  Table: Angola LNG Terminals
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
  Table: Key Players In Angola's Oil & Gas Sector
  Table: Key Upstream Players
  Table: Key Downstream Players
Company Profile
Latest Updates
  Table: Major Upstream Assets In Angola
BP Angola
  Table: Major Upstream Assets In Angola
  Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn)
Latest Updates
  Table: Major Projects In Angola
  Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn)
Eni Angola Production
Latest Updates
  Table: Major Assets In Angola
  Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn)
Esso Exploration Angola
Latest Updates
  Table: Key Assets In Angola
  Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn)
Total Exploration Angola
Latest Updates
  Table: Key Assets In Angola
  Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn)
Regional Overview
Africa - Bullish Gas, Bearish Oil
  Table: Africa Oil & Gas Production, Consumption, Refining Capacity And Trade
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Weighting
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