Future of the German Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022

Date: November 20, 2017
Pages: 121
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Publisher: Strategic Defence Intelligence (SDI)
Report type: Strategic Report
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Future of the German Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022
Future of the German Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022

SUMMARY

The Future of the German Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2022, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

SYNOPSIS

This report offers detailed analysis of the German defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following -
  • The German defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the German defense industry during 2018-2022, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country’s expenditure and modernization patterns
  • Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to capital expenditure and revenue expenditure. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
  • Porter’s Five Force analysis of the German defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry
  • Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years
  • Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the next 10 years
  • Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the German defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis
SCOPE
  • Germany, a major economic power in Europe, has outlined plans to increase its defense expenditure over the forecast period in an attempt to strengthen the combat readiness of the country’s armed forces. The German Ministry of Defence (MoD) has been accused of operating a less efficient military base with an arsenal of outdated equipment. German defense expenditure is projected to increase at a CAGR of 5.0% over 2018-2022, compared to a CAGR of 2.8% over 2013-2017.
  • Capital expenditure’s share of Germany’s total defense budget increased from 26.0% in 2013 to 30.7% in 2017. Over the forecast period, capital expenditure’s average share is expected to be 31.2%, while the remaining 68.8% will be directed towards revenue expenditure.
  • The MoD is expected to invest in Military-IT Networking, Frigates, Transport Aircraft and Multi-role Aircraft among others.
REASONS TO BUY
  • This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the German defense industry market trends for the coming five years
  • The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period
  • Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
  • A deep qualitative analysis of the German defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter’s Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts


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1. INTRODUCTION

1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

3. MARKET ATTRACTIVENESS AND EMERGING OPPORTUNITIES

3.1. Current Market Scenario
  3.1.1. Primary Threat Perception
  3.1.2. Military Doctrine & Strategy
  3.1.3. Military Fleet Size
  3.1.4. Procurement Programs
  3.1.5. Social, Political and Economic Environment and Support for Defense Projects
  3.1.6. Political and Strategic Alliances
3.2. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
  3.2.1. Germany’s defense expenditure is expected to increase at a CAGR of 5% over 2018-2022
  3.2.2. Maintenance of the country’s armed forces and peacekeeping operations to drive defense expenditure over the forecast period
  3.2.3. German defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP expected to decrease
3.3. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
  3.3.1. Germany to allocate a higher share towards revenue expenditure than capital expenditure over the forecast period
  3.3.2. Capital expenditure to increase at a CAGR of 5.0% over the forecast period
  3.3.3. Per capita defense expenditure is expected to increase significantly between 2018-2022
3.4. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
  3.4.1. German homeland security expenditure is expected to increase at a CAGR of 8.02% during the forecast period
  3.4.2. Counter terrorism and cyber security to drive homeland security expenditure
  3.4.3. Germany falls under “moderately affected” on the Terrorism Index
  3.4.4. Germany has a terrorism index score of 4.3
  3.4.5. Germany faces a moderate threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.5. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
  3.5.1. German defense budget expected to increase over the forecast period
  3.5.2. Germany’s defense expenditure is expected to be one of the top among European countries
  3.5.3. Germany allocates a lower share of GDP for defense compared to other European countries
3.6. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
  3.6.1. Military IT- Networking
  3.6.2. Frigates
  3.6.3. Transport Aircraft
  3.6.4. Multi-role Aircraft

4. DEFENSE PROCUREMENT MARKET DYNAMICS

4.1. Import Market Dynamics
  4.1.1. Defense imports are expected to remain steady during the forecast period
  4.1.2. Germany sourced most of its arms imports from the US
  4.1.3. Missiles and sensors dominate military hardware imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
  4.2.1. Arms exports recovered over 2014-2016 after a decrease in 2012 and 2013
  4.2.2. The US and Israel are Germany’s biggest arms importers
  4.2.3. Naval vessels and armored vehicles are the main exported defense products

5. INDUSTRY DYNAMICS

5.1. Five Forces Analysis
  5.1.1. Bargaining Power of Supplier: Low
  5.1.2. Bargaining Power of Buyer: High
  5.1.3. Barrier to Entry: Low
  5.1.4. Intensity of Rivalry: Low
  5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: Low

6. MARKET ENTRY STRATEGY

6.1. Market Regulation
  6.1.1. Investment policy promotes 100% FDI in the defense industry
6.2. Market Entry Route
  6.2.1. Budget Process
  6.2.2. Procurement Policy and Process
  6.2.3. Foreign defense OEMs form large conglomerates to enter the market
  6.2.4. Foreign OEMs establish subsidiaries or form JVs to enter the industry
6.3. Key Challenges
  6.3.1. Project delays deter defense industry growth
  6.3.2. German arms exports to large defense markets outside the EU are minimal

7. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE AND STRATEGIC INSIGHTS

7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
  7.1.1. Foreign OEMs have strong collaborations with domestic defense firms
7.2. Key Companies
  7.2.1. Diehl Stiftung: Overview
  7.2.2. Diehl Stiftung: Products
  7.2.3. Diehl Stiftung: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
  7.2.4. Diehl Stiftung: Alliances
  7.2.5. Diehl Stiftung: Recent Contract Wins
  7.2.6. Airbus Group: Overview
  7.2.7. Airbus Group: Products
  7.2.8. Airbus Group: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
  7.2.9. Airbus Group: Alliances
  7.2.10. Airbus Group: Recent Contract Wins
  7.2.11. Airbus Group: Financial Analysis
  7.2.12. Heckler & Koch: Overview
  7.2.13. Heckler & Koch: Products
  7.2.14. Heckler and Koch: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
  7.2.15. Heckler and Koch: Recent Contract Wins
  7.2.16. MAN Truck & Bus AG: Overview
  7.2.17. MAN Truck & Bus AG: Products and Services
  7.2.18. MAN Truck & Bus AG: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
  7.2.19. MAN Truck & Bus AG: Alliances
  7.2.20. MAN Truck & Bus AG: Recent Contract Wins
  7.2.21. Airbus Helicopters: Overview
  7.2.22. Airbus Helicopters: Products and Services
  7.2.23. Airbus Helicopters: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
  7.2.24. Airbus Helicopters: Alliances
  7.2.25. Airbus Helicopters: Recent Contract Wins
  7.2.26. ESG Elektroniksystem-und Logistik: Overview
  7.2.27. ESG Elektroniksystem-und Logistik: Products
  7.2.28. ESG Elektroniksystem-und Logistik: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
  7.2.29. ESG Elektroniksystem-und Logistik: Alliances
  7.2.30. ESG Elektroniksystem-und Logistik: Recent Contract Wins
  7.2.31. ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems: Overview
  7.2.32. ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems: Products
  7.2.33. ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
  7.2.34. ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems: Alliances
  7.2.35. ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems: Recent Contract Wins
  7.2.36. Thales Deutschland: Overview
  7.2.37. Thales Deutschland: Products
  7.2.38. Thales Deutschland: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
  7.2.39. Thales Deutschland: Alliances
  7.2.40. Thales Deutschland: Recent Contract Wins
  7.2.41. MBDA: Overview
  7.2.42. MBDA: Products
  7.2.43. MBDA: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
  7.2.44. MBDA: alliances
  7.2.45. MBDA: Recent Contract Wins
  7.2.46. Eurofighter Jagdflugzeug: Overview
  7.2.47. Eurofighter Jagdflugzeug: Products
  7.2.48. Eurofighter Jagdflugzeug: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
  7.2.49. Eurofighter Jagdflugzeug: Recent Contract Wins
  7.2.50. Rheinmetall: Overview
  7.2.51. Rheinmetall: Products and Services
  7.2.52. Rheinmetall: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
  7.2.53. Rheinmetall: Alliances
  7.2.54. Rheinmetall: Recent Contract Wins
  7.2.55. Rheinmetall: Financial Analysis

8. BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT AND COUNTRY RISK

8.1. Economic Performance
  8.1.1. Gross Domestic per Capita
  8.1.2. Gross Domestic Product, current US$
  8.1.3. Exports of Goods and Services
  8.1.4. Imports of Goods and Services
  8.1.5. Gross National Disposable Income
  8.1.6. Local Currency Unit per US$
  8.1.7. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
  8.1.8. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies as a Percentage of GDP
  8.1.9. Total Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as a Percentage of GDP
  8.1.10. Goods Exports as a Percentage of GDP
  8.1.11. Goods Imports as a Percentage of GDP
  8.1.12. Services Exports as a Percentage of GDP
  8.1.13. Services Imports as a Percentage of GDP
  8.1.14. Foreign Direct Investments, Net (BoP, Current US$ billion)
  8.1.15. Net Foreign Direct Investment as a Percentage of GDP
  8.1.16. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities, Output (LCU billion)

9. APPENDIX

9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: German Army Strength
Table 2: German Air Force Strength
Table 3: German Navy Strength
Table 4: German - Ongoing Development and Procurement Programs
Table 5: German - Future Procurement Programs
Table 6: Germany Defense Expenditure (EUR Billion & US$ Billion), 2013-2022
Table 7: GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth, 2013-2022
Table 8: German Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2013-2022
Table 9: German Defense Capital Expenditure (EUR Million & US$ Million), 2013-2022
Table 10: Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2013-2022
Table 11: German Homeland Security Expenditure (EUR Billion & US$ Billion), 2013-2022
Table 12: Terrorism Index, 2017
Table 13: Benchmarking with Key Markets- 2013-2017 vs 2018-2022
Table 14: Germany Budget Formation Timetable
Table 15: Key Foreign Players and Operations in the German Defense Industry
Table 16: Competitive Landscape of the German Defense Industry
Table 17: Diehl Stiftung - Product focus
Table 18: Diehl Stiftung - Alliances
Table 19: Diehl Stiftung - Contract Wins
Table 20: Airbus Group - Products
Table 21: Airbus Group - Alliances
Table 22: Airbus Group - Contract Wins
Table 23: Heckler & Koch GmbH (HK) - Products
Table 24: Heckler & Koch - Recent Contract Wins
Table 25: MAN Truck & Bus AG - Product Focus
Table 26: MAN Truck & Bus AG - Alliances
Table 27: MAN Truck & Bus AG - Recent Contract Wins
Table 28: Airbus Helicopters - Product Focus
Table 29: Airbus Helicopters - Alliances
Table 30: Airbus Helicopters - Contract Wins
Table 31: ESG Elektroniksystem-und Logistik (ESG) - Products
Table 32: ESG Elektroniksystem-und Logistik - Alliances
Table 33: ESG Elektroniksystem-und Logistik - Recent Contract Wins
Table 34: ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems - Product Focus
Table 35: ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems - Alliances
Table 36: ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems - Recent Contract Wins
Table 37: Thales Deutschland - Product Focus
Table 38: Thales Deutschland - Alliances
Table 39: Thales Deutschland - Contracts Wins
Table 40: MBDA - Product Focus
Table 41: MBDA - Alliances
Table 42: MBDA - Recent Contract Wins
Table 43: Eurofighter Jagdflugzeug - Product Focus
Table 44: Eurofighter Jagdflugzeug - Recent Contract Wins
Table 45: Rheinmetall - Product Focus
Table 46: Rheinmetall - Alliances
Table 47:Rheinmetall - Recent Contract Wins

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: German Defense Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 2: German Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 3: GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth, 2013-2022
Figure 4: German Defense Expenditure Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2013-2022
Figure 5: German Defense Capital Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 6: German Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 7: German Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2013-2022
Figure 8: German Homeland Security Expenditure (EUR Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 9: Germany Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2013-2022
Figure 10: Terrorism Heat Map, 2017
Figure 11: Terrorism Index, 2016
Figure 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2013-2017 vs. 2018-2022
Figure 13: Defense Expenditure of the World’s Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2017 and 2022
Figure 14: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2017
Figure 15: Military IT- networking Market Size (US$ Million), 2017-2027
Figure 16: Frigates Market Size (US$ Million), 2017-2027
Figure 17: Transport Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2017-2027
Figure 18: Multirole Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2017-2027
Figure 19: German Defense Imports Trend, 2012-2016 (TIV values)
Figure 20: German Defense Imports by Country (%), 2012-2016
Figure 21: German Defense Imports by Category (%), 2012-2016
Figure 22: German Defense Exports Trend, 2012-2016 (TIV values)
Figure 23: German Defense Exports by Country (%), 2012-2016
Figure 24: German Defense Exports by Category (%), 2012-2016
Figure 25: Industry Dynamics Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
Figure 26: Airbus Group - Revenue Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2012-2016
Figure 27: Airbus Group - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2012-2016
Figure 28: Airbus Group - Net Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2012-2016
Figure 29: Rheinmetall - Revenue Trend Analysis (EUR Billion), 2012-2016
Figure 30: Rheinmetall - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2012-2016
Figure 31: Rheinmetall - Net Profit Trend Analysis (EUR Million), 2012-2016
Figure 32: Germany GDP per Capita, 2015-2025
Figure 33: Germany Gross Domestic Product (current US$ Billion), 2015-2025
Figure 34: Germany Exports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014
Figure 35: Germany Imports of Goods and Services (LCU Billion), 2005-2014
Figure 36: Germany Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Billion), 2005-2012
Figure 37: Germany LCU per US$, 2015-2024
Figure 38: Germany Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billion), 2005-2012
Figure 39: Germany Market Capitalization of Listed Companies as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2012
Figure 40: Germany Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as a Percentage of GDP,2005-2012
Figure 41: Germany Goods Exports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2013
Figure 42: Germany Goods Imports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2013
Figure 43: Germany Services Exports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2013
Figure 44: Germany Services Imports as a Percentage of GDP, 2005-2013
Figure 45: Foreign Direct Investments, Net (BoP, Current US$ Billion) 2005-2013
Figure 46: Germany Net Foreign Direct Investment as a % of GDP, 2005-2013
Figure 47: Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (LCU billion), 2005-2014

COMPANIES MENTIONED

Diehl Stiftung
Airbus Group
Heckler & Koch GmbH (HK)
MAN Truck & Bus AG
Airbus Helicopters
ESG Elektroniksystem-und Logistik (ESG)
ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems
Thales Deutschland
MBDA
Eurofighter Jagdflugzeug
Rheinmetall
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