Zambia Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

Date: November 25, 2015
Pages: 32
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: Z0049766E89EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Falling back from unsustainable levels of public investment, the construction sector will moderate from double-digit growth to a slower, but still healthy, pattern over our 10-year forecast period to 2024. This will be largely driven by continued investment in transport and energy projects. However, an uncertain environment for the crucial mining sector will pose a downside risk and lead to lower capital expenditure.

Latest Updates
  • Cutbacks in Zambia's crucial mining sector have caused us to revise down our forecasts for 2015 and 2016 from 15.16% real growth to 10.1% and from 10.5% to 6.5% respectively.
  • Overspending and falling copper prices have severely restricted the government's ability to invest infrastructure and we expect capital spending rather than current to be cut more drastically in the run up to the 2016 elections.
  • On September 7 2015 Glencore announced it would immediately suspend the firm's Mopani copper mining operation. This will hurt the copper sector's output as the mine accounted for 15% of Zambia's total copper production in 2014.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Zambia 2014-2020)
  Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Zambia)
SWOT infrastructure SWOT
Industry Forecast
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
  Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Zambia 2014-2024)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Africa - SSA Infrastructure RRI: Capital Constraints Biting
  Table: SSA Infrastructure Risk/Rewards Index Table, Q116
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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