United Kingdom Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Date: August 10, 2016
Pages: 78
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: U39E9FD2075EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Brexit vote in the short term will have a negative impact on the construction sector, most acutely felt in the residential and non-residential building sector. Infrastructure should be insulated from a downturn in the economy as budgetary allocations have been made, but over the longer term projects are vulnerable to revisions to government spending and further delays.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
  • Our core scenario following the Brexit vote now sees growth in the UK construction sector slowing to 1% in 2016 and 0.4% in 2017. The non-residential building sector is highly likely be the hardest hit following the Brexit vote, in particular commercial and industrial real estate.
  • Should our upside scenario following the Brexit vote play out, we would expect the momentum gained from the quick transition of power within the Conservative party to the premiership of Theresa May, would be used to make decisions on major infrastructure projects and announce reforms to the house building sector to increase output.
  • The core of our downside scenario following the Brexit vote, is an extended period of economic contraction. We have cut our GDP forecasts for the UK, but should the economy falter then it could undermine the fundamentally strong demand picture in the housing market. Furthermore, non-residential building would see an even greater pull back in investment and the attraction of UK infrastructure assets to private investors would be eroded.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (United Kingdom 2015-2025)
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (United Kingdom)
Infrastructure SWOT
Industry Forecast
United Kingdom - Construction: 2018 Before Brexit Slowdown Eases- Q4 2016
Latest Updates
  Table: UK - 10-Year Construction Forecasts
Structural Trends
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Latest Updates
  Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (United Kingdom 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
  Table: Major UK Airport Investments
  Table: Transport Projects
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Latest Updates
  Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (United Kingdom 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
  Table: Energy and Utilities Projects
Residential/Non-Residential Construction - Outlook And Overview
Latest Updates
  Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (United Kingdom 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
  Table: Residential, Non-Residential and Social Infrastructure Projects
Industry Risk Reward Index
United Kingdom - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
NAWE Infrastructure RRI: Outperforming On Risks And Rewards
  Table: North America And Western Europe: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Key Players - Financial Data
Company Profile
Carillion Plc
  Table: Carillion Financials (GBPmn)
Balfour Beatty
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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