United Kingdom Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

Date: July 13, 2016
Pages: 74
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: UA7D75211B1EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Brexit will have far-reaching implications for the UK construction sector. Overall, in the short term these implications are negative, with investment decisions from the private sector to be put on hold, while the government has entered a period of instability which could delay vital project decisions. For Q316 we have downgraded our forecasts for the overall construction industry largely on the back of the residential and non-residential building sector and will look to make further downgrades to the infrastructure sector when the impacts of Brexit are clearer.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
  • We have lowered our growth forecasts for the UK's construction industry for 2016-2018 following the referendum vote to leave the EU. We now forecast 1% y-o-y real growth in 2016, falling to just 0.4% in 2017. The non-residential building sector will be the hardest hit by Brexit, in particular commercial and industrial real estate. Several major infrastructure projects are yet to be fully factored into our forecasts due to slow progress on investment decisions which will be exacerbated by Brexit, but the UK retains Europe's largest infrastructure project pipeline.
  • From a private perspective, the UK will remain an attractive market for infrastructure investment; however, the uncertainty surrounding changes to regulatory legislation and impact on the economy of Brexit will likely result in investments stalling. This will particularly be the case in the power and water sectors, which are heavily regulated and already experiencing a lull in investment.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (United Kingdom 2015-2025)
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (United Kingdom 2016)
Infrastructure SWOT
Industry Forecast
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
  Table: UK - 10-Year Construction Forecasts
Structural Trends
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Latest Updates
  Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (United Kingdom 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
  Table: Major UK Airport Investments
  Table: Transport Projects
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Latest Updates
  Table: Energy & Utilities Infrastructure Data (United Kingdom 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
  Table: Energy and Utilities Projects
Residential/Non-Residential Construction - Outlook And Overview
Latest Updates
  Table: Residential & Non-Residential Building Industry Data (United Kingdom 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
  Table: Residential, Non-Residential and Social Infrastructure Projects
Industry Risk Reward Index
United Kingdom - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
NAWE Infrastructure RRI: Outperforming On Risks And Rewards
  Table: North America And Western Europe: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Key Players - Financial Data
Company Profile
Carillion Plc
  Table: Carillion Financials (GBPmn)
Balfour Beatty
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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