Tanzania Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Date: August 24, 2016
Pages: 35
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: T253AD5507AEN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Improvements to Tanzania's poor transport logistics network will be the main driver of construction industry growth throughout our 10-year forecast period, with interest in the country's nascent gas sector and the construction of the necessary export infrastructure expected only after 2020 owing to depressed commodity prices. The government will need to tackle allegations of corruption so as not to deter investors.

Forecast & Industry Developments
  • We are maintaining our forecasts of 7.6% real growth for 2016 and annual average growth of 7.4% in real terms over our five-year forecast period up to 2020. The development of transport infrastructure, supported by international funding flows, will be the primarily driver of construction industry expansion, as the government works to improve the country's poor logistics profile and capitalise on its maritime access.
  • Over our full 10-year forecast period we project annual average growth of 8.4%. Nominal industry value is projected to rise from an estimated USD5.1bn in 2015 to USD15.3bn in 2025, keeping Tanzania as the second-largest construction market in East Africa, behind Ethiopia.
  • Persistently low commodity prices and an uncertain regulatory environment continue to deter investment into the country's nascent gas sector.
  • Increasing activity in non-residential construction - particularly industrial and commercial developments - supports our outlook for strong industry growth.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Five-Year Forecast Scenario (Tanzania 2016-2025)
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Tanzania 2016)
Infrastructure SWOT
Industry Forecast
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
  Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (Tanzania 2016-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Tanzania - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Industry Risk/Reward Index
  Table: SSA RRI
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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