South Africa Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

Date: July 13, 2016
Pages: 67
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: South Africa's construction market has entered into a period of subdued growth as macroeconomic and operational headwinds weigh on business confidence and limit productivity in the sector. We expect rail and renewable energy sectors to post the most solid performance, with improved freight logistics and a more stable power supply crucial to economic growth. Support will also stem from the continued implementation of the low-cost housing programme.

Forecast & Industry Developments
  • We are maintaining our forecast for 1.6% real growth over 2016 and annual average growth of 2.2% in real terms over the next five years up to 2020. Nominal industry value will rise from an estimated USD11.2bn in 2015 to USD15.5bn in 2025, keeping it as one of the largest construction markets in Sub- Saharan Africa.
  • We expect rail investment plans to take shape over our forecast period, with parastatal Transnet in a solid financial position to execute its key projects and the government eager to overcome bottlenecks in the country's freight logistics network.
  • New and proposed policies extending the state's power into investment and land matters are eroding business confidence in the sector, which is already poor in light of the weakening rand and subdued commodities outlook.
BMI Industry View
  Table: 5-Year Forecast Scenario (South Africa 2016-2020)
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (South Africa 2016)
Industry Forecast
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
  Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (South Africa 2016-2025)
Transport Infrastructure – Outlook And Overview
  Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (South Africa 2016-2025)
  Table: Transport - Major Projects By Value (USDmn)
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure – Outlook And Overview
  Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (South Africa 2016-2025)
  Table: Energy & Utilities --- Major Projects By Value (USDmn)
Residential/Non-Residential Building – Outlook And Overview
  Table: 10-Year Forecast Scenario (South Africa 2016-2025)
  Table: Planned Special Economic Zones
  Table: Residential & Non-Residential Construction - Major Projects By Value (USDmn)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
South Africa – Risk/Reward Index
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index
  Table: SSA RRI
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
  Table: EQS Data
Company Profile
Murray & Roberts Group (M&R)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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