South Africa Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

Date: December 23, 2015
Pages: 70
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: S656762E1E2EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We have downgraded our construction industry real growth forecasts for 2016, which is now 2.8% y-o-y. Business sentiment will continue to remain low, seeing a poor outlook for the non-residential building sector, which has previously been a bright-spot. Rail and renewable energy infrastructure projects remain our favoured sectors, along with low-cost housing.

Latest Updates An Structural Trends
  • We have lowered our real growth forecast for South Africa's construction sector as the downside risks we highlighted last quarter have taken hold. We now forecast real growth of 2.8% in 2016, average annual growth of 2.8% over the next five years and 3% over our 10-year forecast period.
  • The ongoing power crisis, strikes by unionised workers, the slowdown in the Chinese economy and macroeconomic headwinds such as the increasingly hawkish stance of the South African Reserve Bank (SARB), will continue to drag on economic sentiment - hitting the non-residential sector in particular. We forecast average annual real growth in the residential and non-residential sector of 2.4% over the next ten years.
  • Rail, port and IPP projects (renewables and thermal) will drive our infrastructure forecasts, which average 3.6% over the next ten years.
BMI Industry View
    Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (South Africa 2015-2021)
    Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (South Africa)
Industry Forecast
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
    Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (South Africa 2014-2024)
Transport Infrastructure – Outlook And Overview
    Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (South Africa 2014-2024)
Transport Infrastructure Outlook
Major Projects Table - Transport
    Table: MAJOR PROJECTS: Transport
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure – Outlook And Overview
    Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (South Africa 2014-2024)
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Outlook And Overview
    Table: REIPPP Capacity Target, 2016
Major Projects - Energy & Utilities
    Table: MAJOR PROJECTS: Energy and Utilities
Residential/Non-Residential Building – Outlook And Overview
    Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (South Africa 2015-2024)
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook & Overview
    Table: Planned Special Economic Zones
Major Projects Table - Residential/Non-Residential Building And Social Infrastructure
    Table: MAJOR PROJECTS: Residential and Non-Residential Building
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
South Africa – Risk/Reward Index
Africa - SSA Infrastructure RRI: Capital Constraints Biting
    Table: SSA Infrastructure Risk/Rewards Index Table, Q116
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
    Table: EQS Data
Company Profile
Murray & Roberts Group (M&R)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
    Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
    Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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