Russia Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Date: August 31, 2016
Pages: 72
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: R96FC593C37EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Russia's poor macroeconomic fundamentals, including a weak rouble exacerbated by international sanctions and a fiscal deficit driven by lower oil revenue, underpin our bearish outlook for the country's construction sector. Russia's residential and non-residential construction sector will be the primary victim of Russia's economic weakness and emerge as the clear underperformer, while the growth prospects for Russia's infrastructure sector are comparatively brighter on the back of a raft of high-value pipeline and transport projects.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
  • International sanctions, which were renewed by the EU in June for a period of six months, continue to weigh on our real growth forecast for Russia's construction sector, which we have revised downward to -2.25% from -1.84% for 2016. However, we note that, in our view, international sanctions are likely to be lifted or eased at some point in 2017, providing a limited degree of upside risk to our longer-term growth forecast.
  • China will continue to emerge as the primary external financier of Russian infrastructure projects, as sanctions will largely preclude state-owned Russian banks from accessing global financial markets until at least January 2017. While China is investing across all areas of Russian infrastructure, it has been particularly active in investing in transport and energy projects throughout Russia's Far East that further its geopolitical ambitions.
  • We expect the Oil and Gas Pipeline subsector to outperform over the next five years with an annualised average growth rate of 3.6% as the Russian government prioritises funding for economically and geopolitically vital pipeline projects like Power of Siberia.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Russia 2015-2025)
  Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Russia 2016)
Infrastructure SWOT
Industry Forecast
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Bleak Infrastructure Outlook To Continue In 2016
  Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Russia 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
  Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Russia 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
  Table: Key Projects: Transport
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
  Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Russia 2016-2025)
Structural Trends
  Table: Key Projects: Energy & Utilities
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook and Overview
  Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Russia 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
Government Policies To Support Housing Market
Major Projects   Table - Residential/Non-Residential Key Projects
  Table: Key Projects: Construction & Social Infrastructure
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Russia - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
CEE Infrastructure RRI: EU Funding Essential As Risks Deter Private Investors
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Competitive Landscape
Company Profile
Mostootryad No19
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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Russia Infrastructure Report Q1 2016 US$ 1,295.00 Nov, 2015 · 63 pages
Russia Infrastructure Report Q2 2016 US$ 1,295.00 Feb, 2016 · 62 pages
Russia Infrastructure Report Q3 2015 US$ 1,295.00 May, 2015 · 89 pages

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