Poland Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Date: August 10, 2016
Pages: 65
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: P8F464E19C0EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Poland's construction industry is poised for growth over the first half of our forecast period, driven primarily by investment into transport infrastructure, the largest sector in nominal value terms and main beneficiary of EU funding. We also anticipate robust growth in residential construction - already the largest residential market in the CEE region - on the back of a series of housing programmes focusing on affordable housing. A major downside risk to our forecast is the government's escalating feud with the EU, with the potential to jeopardise future funding, on which Poland's construction sector is heavily reliant for key projects.

Forecast & Industry Developments
  • Growth in Poland's construction sector in 2016 will slow to 4.3% in real terms as the EU temporarily slows the disbursement of funding for new member states. As funding for Poland is expected to pick up over the remainder of the EU's 2014-2020 budgetary cycle, we expect the construction sector to resume its growth pattern of the last two years, leaving intact our forecast for annual average growth of 3.8% in real terms over the first half of our forecast period up to 2020.
  • The rail and road sectors will emerge as growth outperformers, expected to post annual real growth averages of 5.3% and 4.3% respectively over the next five years. Key projects in these areas include the newly announced Talinn-Warsaw railway line and the EU-funded 330km highway, announced in March 2016.
  • The governing Law & Justice Party's commitment to retaining the dominance of coal in the domestic power generation mix was further demonstrated in April, when it bailed out Poland's largest coal miner KW at the expense of private shareholders.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Five Year Forecast Scenario (Poland 2016-2020)
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Poland)
Infrastructure SWOT
Industry Forecast
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
  Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Poland 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview
Latest Updates
  Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Poland 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
  Table: Poland Key Transport Projects
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview
Latest Updates
  Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Poland 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
  Table: Key Energy & Utilities Projects
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook and Overview
Latest Updates
  Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Poland 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
  Table: Key Residential And Non-Residential Projects
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Poland - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
CEE Infrastructure RRI: EU Funding Essential As Risks Deter Private Investors
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Key Company Financial Data
Company Profile
  Table: Budimex Key Financial Statistics (EURmn)
Skanska Poland
  Table: Skanska Key Financial Statistics (SEK M)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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Poland Infrastructure Report Q1 2016 US$ 1,295.00 Nov, 2015 · 77 pages
Poland Infrastructure Report Q3 2016 US$ 1,295.00 May, 2016 · 60 pages

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