Poland Infrastructure Report Q3 2014

Date: May 7, 2014
Pages: 86
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: Business Monitor International
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: P965D75120DEN

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BMI View: We believe Poland's construction sector will return to growth in 2014, following a steep 9% contraction in 2013. Growth will be modest however, as the country's infrastructure continues to feel the impact of the road building debacle, weighing on productivity, capacity and investor sentiment. However, a pick-up in the housing sector, and a new allocation of EU funding should see a turnaround in growth in H214 and boost the construction sector from 2015. As such, we expect annual average growth of 5.4% between 2015 and 2018.

Poland's construction sector experienced a 9% contraction in 2013, in line with our estimate for a 10% contraction, and wiping PLN11.8bn off the total industry value, while more than 300 companies in the industry faced bankruptcy - including some of the country's largest builders. While we expect growth to rebound in 2014, the impact of this is expected to persist over the first six months of the year at least, with reduced capacity, productivity and weakened investor sentiment indicating sustained weakness in the industry, and guiding our forecast for 1% real growth for the year.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
  Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Poland 2012-2017)
  Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Poland 2018-2023)
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview
  Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Poland 2012-2017)
  Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Poland 2018-2023)
  Table: Major Projects - Transport
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview
  Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Poland 2012-2017)
  Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Poland 2018-2023)
  Table: Major Projects - Energy & Utilities
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook and Overview
  Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Poland 2012-2017)
  Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Poland 2018-2023)
  Table: Major Projects - Social Infrastructure & Construction
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Poland Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
Poland's Risk/Reward Ratings
Central And Eastern Europe - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
Limited Access To Funding
  Table: Central And Eastern Europe Risk Reward Ratings
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Key Company Financial Data
Company Profile
Skanska Poland
Global Infrastructure Overview
Middle East/North Africa Presents Strongest Investment Profile
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Rating Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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