Kazakhstan Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Date: September 21, 2016
Pages: 64
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Construction sector growth in Kazakhstan is set to accelerate in the coming years, as the sector continues to display resilience in the face of a lacklustre, yet gradually improving, economic situation. Our optimistic view is underpinned by the government's willingness to finance infrastructure projects with deficit spending in the context of its economic diversification plan. We expect the residential building and transport subsectors in particular to emerge as key growth engines within Kazakhstan's wider construction industry, as the government seeks to mollify a restive populace with affordable housing programmes and Chinese investment breathes life into cross-border road and rail projects.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
  • We have left our construction sector growth forecast unchanged for Q4. We expect growth to average 4.5% in 2016, and to subsequently accelerate over the next five years, with annualized average growth of 5.7%.
  • We forecast oil prices to recover gradually in the coming years, from an average of USD46.5 per bbl in 2016 to USD71 per bbl by 2020. As oil is the primary source of government revenue, we expect the government's fiscal deficit to ease and an uptick in economic growth, conditions which augur well for increased investment in Kazakhstan's infrastructure sector.
  • Residential building starts grew 18% y-o-y in the first six months of 2016; concurrently, President Nazarbayev announced in February that he intended to allocate USD1bn to the construction of affordable housing, which underpins our view that the residential sector will outperform in the coming years.
BMI Industry View
Latest Updates And Structural Trends
  Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2015-2025)
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index (Kazakhstan)
Infrastructure SWOT
Industry Forecast
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
  Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Kazakhstan 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Industry Forecast Scenario
Latest updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Kazakhstan: Key Transport Projects
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Industry Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Top Five Major Kazakh Projects - Energy & Utilities
Residential/NonResidential Building - Outlook And Overview
Industry Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Top Five Major Kazakh Projects - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Kazakhstan - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
CEE Infrastructure RRI: EU Funding Essential As Risks Deter Private Investors
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Company Profile
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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