Iraq Infrastructure Report Q4 2016

Date: August 31, 2016
Pages: 73
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: IF39574E205EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The dire security situation and virtually non-existent public spending will deter investment in Iraq's construction sector in the near term. On a positive note, FDI is being promised for the future, especially in its hydrocarbons industry and gas pipeline infrastructure, which see the return of fixed investment in 2017 as the oil price stabilises. Meanwhile, the project pipeline remains swollen with large residential developments, but the investment and operating environment make it exceptionally challenging to conduct business.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
  • Security and macroeconomic headwinds facing the industry are still firmly in play. Our short-term view remains unchanged with growth of 3.3% forecast for 2016 and 3.6% in 2017 after several years of contraction.
  • Long-term growth of a forecast 4.7% annually to 2025 is far below the country's potential, given the need for major reconstruction after years of war. In January 2016 Baghdad cancelled projects worth IQD10tn (USD9bn) and postponed another 2,169 projects worth IQD37tn that had been approved in the 2015 budget as the government faces a severe fiscal crisis brought about by a drastic fall in its oil revenues.
  • The Iraqi government also announced in January it would not approve projects in 2016.
  • Nevertheless, our core view is for oil prices to rise from H216, with Iraq making gains against Islamic State forces and the economy to begin slowly improving, which could set in motion a return of investment and activity in the construction sector from 2017.
BMI Industry View
Latest Updates And Structural Trends
  Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Iraq 2015-2025)
Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Iraq)
Infrastructure SWOT
Industry Forecast
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
  Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Iraq 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
  Table: Iraq's Long-Term Scenarios
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Industry Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Major Projects - Transport
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Industry Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Iraq Electricity Consumption 2013
  Table: Top Five Major Projects - Energy and Utilities
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
Industry Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Major Projects - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Iraq - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
MENA Infrastructure RRI: Oil Prices And Security Remain Key Risks
  Table: Select Infrastructure Investments January -- June 2016
  Table: MENA RRI
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Key Company Financial Data
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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