Germany Infrastructure Report Q3 2016

Date: May 18, 2016
Pages: 58
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: G1BE36A7371EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Germany's solid economic performance continues to present upside risks to our construction industry forecasts over 2016 and 2017, although we note a lack of investment from the government and corporations means growth will trend lower over our 10-year forecast period. The rail infrastructure and renewables projects remain the market's bright spots.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
  • This quarter we maintained our forecast that Germany's construction sector will register healthy real growth rates of 1.8% and 1.4% in 2016 and 2017 respectively. Our longer-term outlook also remains stable, with the industry's annual growth rates averaging 1.3% between 2016 and 2025.
  • Germany's net transport infrastructure industry's value has been contracting for four consecutive years now, declining by another 1.9% y-o-y in 2015. While we forecast a strong recovery 2016, with the growth rate forecast at 3.1% y-o-y, the pace of expansion will decelerate gradually across our review period to 2025, averaging 1.7% growth per annum.
  • In March 2016, the German government outlined its plans to spend about EUR260bn over the next 15 years to upgrade its infrastructure. According to Reuters reports, around 70% of the funds will be allocated to transport infrastructure. Although the details of this plan are still being worked out, it poses a strong upside risks to our current growth projections.
  • In 2015, energy and utilities industry value registered 2.6% expansion in real terms on account of strong performance in the power plants and transmission grids segment. Over our 10-year review period to 2025, we forecast the industry to register sustained, albeit slower real growth rates of 2.2% per annum.
  • Germany will launch two tenders in 2017 for offshore wind capacity totalling 2.92GW, according to draft plans published by the federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Germany 2015-2021)
  Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Germany 2016)
Infrastructure SWOT
Industry Forecast
Germany - Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
  Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Germany 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Latest Updates
  Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Germany 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
  Table: Top Five Projects By Value - Transport Infrastructure
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview
Latest Updates
  Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Germany 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
  Table: Top 5 By Projects By Value: Energy & Utilities
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview
Latest Updates
  Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Germany 2015-2025)
Structural Trends
  Table: Top Five Projects By Value - Residential and Non-Residential Building
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Germany - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
NAWE Infrastructure RRI: Outperforming On Risks And Rewards
  Table: North America And Western Europe: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Key Infrastructure Companies
Company Profile
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
  Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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