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Construction in Pakistan - Key Trends and Opportunities (H1 2021)

April 2021 | 17 pages | ID: C3F6B208AC86EN
GlobalData

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Construction in Pakistan - Key Trends and Opportunities (H1 2021)

SUMMARY

The outbreak of the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has further exacerbated the weaknesses in the Pakistani construction industry, which had already recorded contractions in 2018 and 2019. The government had initially restricted activity in the construction industry amid the lockdown restrictions imposed to contain the pandemic; however, in mid-April 2020, it allowed the industry to resume operations. The construction industry in Pakistan is expected to expand by 3% in real terms in 2021, following a decline of 6.2% in 2019.

To support the construction sector, and boost employment and economic output, Prime Minister Imran Khan announced a construction stimulus package in April 2020. The package includes a fixed tax rate for the construction industry, a subsidy worth PKR30 billion (US$191.5 million) for the Naya Pakistan Housing Scheme, a decrease in sales tax and incentives for builders to construct affordable housing. In addition to this, those who invest in newly constructed buildings will be exempt from declaring their source of income until June 2022. Under the new law, tax on low-cost housing construction under the Naya Pakistan Housing and Development Authority was reduced by 90%, advance tax on the sale of property was reduced from 10% to 5%, one-time capital gain tax was exempted on houses and flats, and zero withholding tax is applied to all construction material except steel and cement. According to government estimates, as of early December 2020, 389 projects worth PKR157 billion (US$1 billion) have registered with the government to take advantage of the tax benefits enacted in the construction package.

Although GlobalData expects the construction industry to expand in 2021, a downside risk to the industry’s outlook in the short term could arise from the recent rise in COVID-19 cases and a subsequent tightening of restrictions to control the outbreaks. The financial weakness of the country could further dampen growth in the industry’s output. According to the Ministry of Finance, the country’s debt-to-GDP ratio increased from 86.1% at the end of June 2019 to 87.2% at the end of June 2020. However, the government plans to reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio to 78% by 2024, by increasing revenue mobilization and reducing expenditure.

Industry growth is expected to improve, registering annual growth in the range of 4.8-5.3% between 2022-2025, supported by investment in China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) infrastructure projects. Growth will also be supported by investments in transport, electricity, housing, telecommunication, and industrial infrastructure projects. To support industrialization, the Pakistani Government is creating Special Economic Zones in the country. Moreover, to address the housing shortage, the government aims to build five million housing units during 2019-2023.

This report provides detailed market analysis, information, and insights into the Pakistani construction industry, including -
  • The Pakistani construction industry's growth prospects by market, project type and construction activity
  • Critical insight into the impact of industry trends and issues, as well as an analysis of key risks and opportunities in the Pakistani construction industry
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, focusing on development stages and participants, in addition to listings of major projects in the pipeline.
SCOPE

This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in Pakistan. It provides -
  • Historical (2016-2020) and forecast (2021-2025) valuations of the construction industry in Pakistan, featuring details of key growth drivers.
  • Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, energy and utilities, institutional and residential) and by sub-sector
  • Analysis of the mega-project pipeline, including breakdowns by development stage across all sectors, and projected spending on projects in the existing pipeline.
  • Listings of major projects, in addition to details of leading contractors and consultants
REASONS TO BUY
  • Identify and evaluate market opportunities using GlobalData's standardized valuation and forecasting methodologies.
  • Assess market growth potential at a micro-level with over 600 time-series data forecasts.
  • Understand the latest industry and market trends.
  • Formulate and validate strategy using GlobalData's critical and actionable insight.
  • Assess business risks, including cost, regulatory and competitive pressures.
  • Evaluate competitive risk and success factors.
1. CONSTRUCTION OUTLOOK

2. CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY: AT-A-GLANCE

3. LATEST NEWS AND DEVELOPMENTS

4. PROJECT ANALYTICS

5. CONSTRUCTION MARKET DATA

6. ABOUT GLOBALDATA

6.1 Definitions

LIST OF TABLES

Table 1: Construction Industry Key Data
Table 2: Pakistan, Top Construction Projects by Value
Table 3: Pakistan, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Million)
Table 4: Pakistan, Construction Output Value (Nominal, PKR Billion)
Table 5: GlobalData Construction Market Definitions

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1: Pakistan, Construction Output Value (Real, US$ Billion, 2017 Prices and Exchange Rate), 2016-2025
Figure 2: Pakistan, Construction Output Value, by Sector (Real, US$ Million), 2016-2025
Figure 3: South and South-East Asia, Construction Output (Real % Change), 2020 and 2021
Figure 4: Pakistan, Construction Projects Pipeline by Sector (US$ Million)
Figure 5: Pakistan, Quantum Index of Large-Scale Manufacturing Industries, 2005-2006=100, % Change YoY
Figure 6: Pakistan, Total Exports, in PKR Billion, % Change YoY
Figure 7: Pakistan, Construction Projects Pipeline, Value by Stage (US$ Million)


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