Angola Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

Date: December 30, 2015
Pages: 28
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: A05BA1F2676EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Angola's construction industry will average annual growth of 5.1% in real terms over our 10-year-forecast period, driven primarily by investment in the country's residential and non-residential sector, as well as into power generation and freight infrastructure. Untapped oil reserves also hold potential to boost growth over the second half of our forecast. While we highlight the long-term cost of servicing the debt to be a downside risk for Angola's infrastructure sector, the issuance of the country's first Eurobond will partially help to address the financing deficit, with further support coming from China.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
  • We continue to forecast 2.5% real growth over 2016, 4% over the next five years and 5.1% over our full 10-year forecast period.
  • China will remain the most dominant investor in the country, as Brazilian construction firms reduce their activity in Sub-Saharan Africa.
  • Angola sold its first Eurobond in November 2015 and we anticipate some of the funding will be directed to infrastructure development. However, while a positive for short-term funding, the bond will be expensive to pay off in the long term, which could divert funds to debt servicing, away from infrastructure investment.
BMI Industry View
    Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Angola 2014-2020)
    Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Angola)
Infrastructure SWOT
Industry Forecast
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
    Table: Angola 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Africa - SSA Infrastructure RRI: Capital Constraints Biting
    Table: SSA Infrastructure Risk/Rewards Index Table, Q116
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
    Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
    Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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