Russia Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016

Date: June 15, 2016
Pages: 89
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Forthcoming investment projects focusing on import substitution should address the supply/ demand imbalance and move Russia to self-sufficiency; in some segments Russia will become a net exporter. With domestic market growth slower than capacity growth coupled with a weak rouble and low feedstock costs, Russia is likely to lead to far higher levels of exports than previously expected.

The Russian petrochemicals industry is outperforming the overall economy with capacity utilisation rising amid economic conditions that are favourable to the sector. In the January-April period, polypropylene (PP) production grew 7.0% y-o-y and polyethylene terephthalate (PET) output rose 4.6%. Production was boosted by an increase in capacity, stronger domestic demand and a weak rouble that protected the economy from imports. This follows a stronger performance in 2015 when basic chemicals output rose 6.3% and ethylene production grew 16.4%.

However, growth hides the sector's structural inefficiencies which have deterred investment, particularly in the country's oriented production. Challenges include the country's manufacturing sector, which is not competitive without the presence of government incentives. Importantly, we do not expect such hurdles to be cleared in the short-to-medium term, resulting in a subdued outlook for the country's export-led industries.
BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
  Table: Russia - Petrochemicals Historical Data & Forecasts, 2012-2020
Macroeconomic Forecast
Economic Analysis
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
  Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100)
Russia Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
  Table: Cracker Capacity Data - Historical Data & Forecasts ('000 tpa)
Industry Trends And Developments
  Table: Major Refinery Upgrades Completed and Under Development
Company Profile
Sibur Holding
  Table: Financial Highlights (RUBmn, Unless Stated Otherwise)
  Table: Financial Results
Nizhnekamskneftekhim (NKNK)
  Table: Financial Results (RUBmn)
Regional Overview
  Table: Northwest European Cracker Outages
  Table: Europe Polymer Plant Turnarounds
Global Industry Overview
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025)
  Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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