Poland Petrochemicals Report Q3 2014

Date: May 28, 2014
Pages: 113
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: Business Monitor International
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download
ID: P4DE3304364EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

The first quarter of the year saw some disappointing results for the Polish petrochemicals industry as recovery appeared to stall. However, BMI's latest Poland Petrochemicals Report believes there is considerable upside for growth as export-oriented industries witness strong growth due to the upturn in the EU economy, particularly the country's main trading partner Germany.

The overall trend is downward across the range of major polymers, although the decline is not strong. in Q114, Polish plastics output was up 3.6% y-o-y to 695,000 tonnes. However, polyethylene (PE) output was down 7.9% to 86,300 tonnes and polypropylene (PP) was down 7.5% to 61,600 tonnes. On the upside, PVC was up 9.7% to 82,700 tonnes. Synthetic rubber was up just 1.5% to 49,400 tonnes. Depressed PE output meant that ethylene production was down 3.4% to 126,000 tonnes, while propylene was up just 0.8% to 126,000 tonnes.
BMI Industry View
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
  Table: Polish Petrochemicals Sector, 2012-2018 ('000tpa, unless otherwise stated)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Risks To Outlook
  Table: Poland - Economic Activity
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Ratings
  Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100)
Poland Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Ratings
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Capacity Expansions
PKN Orlen strategy 2013-2017
Merger And Acquisitions
Company Profile
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen (PKN Orlen)
Grupa Lotos
  Table: Grupo Lotos financial results (PLNmn)
Regional Overview
Europe Overview
Regulatory Concerns Add To Competitiveness Issues
Declining Capacities
  Table: European Cracker Capacities, 2013
Global Industry Overview
  Table: Top 10 Ethylene Producers, 2013
Latin America: The Main Loser In US Expansion Drive
Asia: New Growth Markets Fuel Global Demand
Challenges For The Arabian Gulf
Russia And CIS: Coming To The Fore
  Table: BMI Gasoline Price Forecast, 2012-2018
Weak Q114 For Gasoline
Europe And The US: Competitive Market To Limit Summer Gains
Asia: Market Rebalancing To Better Support Market
Risks To Outlook
  Table: BMI Crude Oil And Diesel Price Forecast (USD/bbl)
New York's One-Off Heat Up
NY: Short-Term Diesel Price Support Expected
Rotterdam: Green Policies Drive Diesel Forward
Singapore: Diesel Support With Power Risks
Risks To Outlook
Jet Fuel
  Table: BMI Crude Oil & Jet Fuel Price Forecast, USD/bbl
Better Outlook Tames Price Fall
  Table: Total Air Freight And Passenger Volume Growth
Risks To Outlook
Bunker Fuel
  Table: BMI Crude Oil & Bunker Fuel Price Forecast (USD/bbl)
The Storm Clears For Shipping
(Slightly) Better Times For Bunker Prices
Long-Term Threats Linger
Pressing Rotterdam & New York Harder
Risks To Outlook
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Poland's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
  Table: Poland's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
  Table: Poland's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
  Table: Poland's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
  Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
  Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Rating Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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