Iran Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

Date: November 4, 2015
Pages: 77
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: I12749A88A7EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Iran is the focus of intensive interest from investors in the petrochemicals industry, particularly European majors, but there is still an element of risk-aversion in spite of the hype. Although the sanctions are due to be withdrawn, there is lingering uncertainty. Additionally, economic structural problems, a slowdown in key export markets and the falling price of naphtha feedstock are deterrents for involvement in the ethanefed Iranian petrochemicals sector. However, potential rewards are high with considerable Iranian upstream resources and a large domestic market that investors cannot afford to ignore.

Planned projects would raise Iran's petrochemicals capacity three-fold to 180mn tonnes per annum (tpa) by 2022, although it is uncertain whether this target will be reached. BMI expects the next five years to see the completion of the Olefins 11 and 12 project, which will have capacities of 2.0mn tpa and 1.2mn tpa respectively. Meanwhile, the USD12bn petrochemical hub at Chabahar - the Makran Petrochemical Plan - will add 1.2mn tpa of ethylene and 900,000tpa of polyethylene (PE).
BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
  Table: Iran's Petrochemicals Industry, 2011-2020 ('000 tpa, Unless Otherwise Stated)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economy To Grow Again On Sanctions Relief
  Table: Economic Activity (Iran 2010-2019)
  Table: GDP By Expenditure (Iran 2012-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Index
MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
  Table: MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index - Q1 2016
Iran Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
  Table: Iran's Cracker Capacity, 2013-2019 ('000 tpa)
Industry Trends And Developments
Post-Sanctions Outlook
Upstream Developments
Current Plans
Company Profile
National Petrochemical Company
Regional Overview
Middle East And Africa Overview
Market Diversification Crucial To Growth
Tightening Ethane Supplies
Diversification Is The Long-Term Focus
Africa Falls Behind
Global Industry Overview
Feedstock Differentials: Respite for Europe


Could US Gas Run out?
Market Outlook: Chinese Downturn
Long-term Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025)
  Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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