Germany Petrochemicals Report Q3 2016

Date: June 15, 2016
Pages: 72
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Germany's petrochemicals industry has witnessed a decline in the value of sales, but rising output volumes and continued low naphtha costs have helped producers defend margins. The outlook is modestly positive with sales likely to be increasingly oriented towards the domestic market, although there are ongoing concerns over the potential threat of competition from low-cost producers the US and the Middle East. Germany will need to maintain its level of value added with its advantage in technological innovation in order to maintain competitiveness.

In Q116, German chemical output, excluding pharma, rose 1.9% q-o-q but only 0.2% y-o-y, according to the Verband der Chemischen Industrie (VCI, Chemical Industry Association). However, with capacity utilisation at 83.6%, the sector was performing well. Chemical prices declined 1.4% y-o-y and 1.3% q-o-q due to falling feedstock costs. Demand also decreased with domestic sales down 1.2% q-o-q and 4.1% q-o-q and external sales down -0.7% q-o-q and 3.1% y-o-y. There is growing confidence of a strong year among plastic packaging manufacturers as consumer demand strengthens, while the construction sector is also set for rising growth rates. The weak point is the automotive industry, which looks set to be hit by the Volkswagen emissions scandal. This will put downward pressure on demand from the automotive parts producers and undermines the drive to diversify and add value to petrochemical production.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
  Table: Germany Petrochemical Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: Germany - Economic Dashboard
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
  Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100)
Germany Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Company Profile
BASF Aktiengesellschaft (BASF)
  Table: BASF Annual Results (EURmn)
BP Refining And Petrochemicals GmbH
  Table: BP Financial Results (USDmn)
Regional Overview
  Table: Northwest European Cracker Outages
  Table: Europe Polymer Plant Turnarounds
Global Industry Overview
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Germany 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Germany 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Germany 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Germany 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Germany 1990-2025)
  Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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