Zimbabwe Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

Date: November 18, 2015
Pages: 62
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: Z84F32B2729EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We expect Zimbabwe to remain a net corn importer over the longer term. Over the next five years, we expect production of the grain to demonstrate moderate growth, although production will remain well below the totals seen in the early 2000s. We are more optimistic regarding the sugar sector, where access to key markets and potential for productivity improvements will drive production over the long term. Although we forecast a domestic sugar market surplus, the sector remains below potential and our forecasts are relatively subdued despite our expectations for higher average prices than current levels in the coming years.

Key Forecasts
  • Corn production to 2018/19: 43.3% on the 2014/15 level to 1.06mn tonnes. We project relatively strong growth over the long term, but the country will remain a net importer, as most of this growth is due to base effects.
  • Sugar production to 2018/19: 14.6% on the 2013/14 level to 561,800 tonnes. An overall improvement in sugarcane yields, greater efficiency of mills and long-term access to export markets will be key drivers of production growth.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Grains Outlook
  Table: Zimbabwe - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook
  Table: Risks To Outlook
  Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Zimbabwe 2011-2019)
Sugar Outlook
  Table: Zimbabwe - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook
  Table: Risks To Outlook
  Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Zimbabwe 2011-2019)
Commodity Price Analysis
Global Commodities Strategy
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Featured Analysis
African Agriculture: Lower Growth Over Coming Years
  Table: African Union CAADP Objectives To 2025
  Table: Indonesia - Select Inward Cocoa Investment Projects
  Table: Most Popular Brands Are Foreign - New Tractor Sales Current Market Share In South Africa In 2014 (%)
Upstream Analysis
Africa GM Outlook
  Table: Farm Size By Region
Africa Machinery Outlook
  Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions
  Table: Farm Size By Region (2012)
Africa Fertiliser Outlook
Regional Overview
Middle East & Africa Regional Overview
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Main Agribusiness Companies
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Zimbabwe 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Zimbabwe 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Zimbabwe 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Zimbabwe 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Zimbabwe 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
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