Venezuela Agribusiness Report Q4 2015

Date: September 23, 2015
Pages: 77
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The operating environment for the agribusiness sector has deteriorated significantly over recent years, due to a poor macroeconomic climate, a shortage of foreign currency and agricultural inputs, and government mismanagement. Venezuela's economy will be under extreme downward pressure in 2015 and 2016 amidst the drop in international oil prices. The growing headwinds to the economy will weigh on agricultural production and consumption in the coming years, and we forecast most of the commodities to see modest if not declining growth out to 2019. Producers of agricultural goods will struggle as rising production costs and controlled prices at the farm level reduce margins.

Key Forecasts

Coffee production decline to 2018/19: 20.4% to 549,000 60kg bags. Venezuela's coffee sector suffers from many structural weaknesses and is on the decline. Low profitability (due to government-mandated prices), the lack of private and public investment and coffee rust disease will impede production from growing.
BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Grains Outlook
  Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Venezuela 2014-2019)
  Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Venezuela 2014-2019)
  Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Venezuela 2009-2014)
  Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Venezuela 2009-2014)
Coffee Outlook
  Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Venezuela 2014-2019)
  Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Venezuela 2009-2014)
Livestock Outlook
  Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Venezuela 2014-2019)
  Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Venezuela 2014-2019)
  Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Venezuela 2014-2019)
  Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Venezuela 2009-2014)
  Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Venezuela 2009-2014)
  Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Venezuela 2009-2014)
Commodity Strategy
Monthly Softs Update
Monthly Grains Update
Upstream Analysis
Americas Machinery Outlook
  Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates)
Americas GM Outlook
Americas Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Food Consumption
  Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Venezuela 2012-2019)
  Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Alcoholic Drinks
  Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Soft Drinks
  Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Hot Drinks
  Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Mass Grocery Retail
  Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Venezuela 2012-2019)
  Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type
Regional Overview
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Venezuela Agribusiness Competitive Landscape
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook 2015
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Venezuela 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Venezuela 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Venezuela 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Venezuela 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
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