Ukraine Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Date: August 31, 2016
Pages: 64
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We retain our generally negative outlook for Ukraine's agricultural sector in 2016 owing to a range of concerns. All agricultural markets will be negatively affected by the poor macroeconomic fundamentals in Ukraine. There will be limited investment into the country over the coming quarters given the unstable political and economic situation, which will affect agricultural production over our forecast period. Russia's ban on imports from Ukraine will weigh on production for the dairy and livestock industries, as Russia represents one of Ukraine's largest agricultural export markets. Furthermore, significant currency depreciation will limit imports, hitting input use and domestic investment. However, we believe that Ukrainian farmers will fail to benefit from the opportunities linked to this weaker currency due to export restrictions and lack of resources to scale up production in the medium term.

Key Forecasts
  • Corn production will decline by 18.0% in 2015/16 to reach a total value of 23.3mn tonnes.
  • We are estimating the wheat crop in 2016/17 to decline by 8.3% to reach 25.0mn tonnes.
  • The livestock and dairy sectors will perform poorly in 2015/16 owing to unsound macroeconomic conditions.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Grains Outlook
Latest Updates
  Table: Ukraine - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook
  Table: Risks To Outlook
Structural Trends
  Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Ukraine 2012-2020)
  Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Ukraine 2012-2020)
  Table: Barley Production & Consumption (Ukraine 2012-2020)
Dairy Outlook
Latest Updates
  Table: Ukraine - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook
  Table: Risks To Outlook
Structural Trends
  Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Ukraine 2012-2020)
  Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Ukraine 2012-2020)
  Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Ukraine 2012-2020)
Livestock Outlook
Latest Updates
  Table: Ukraine - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook
  Table: Risks To Outlook
Structural Trends
  Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Ukraine 2012-2020)
  Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Ukraine 2012-2020)
  Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Ukraine 2012-2020)
Commodity Price Analysis
Global - Global Commodities Strategy
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Europe Machinery Outlook
  Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates)
Europe GM Outlook
Europe Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Food Sales (Ukraine 2013-2020)
Regional Overview
Europe Regional Overview
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Main Agribusiness Players
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Ukraine 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Ukraine 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Ukraine 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Ukraine 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Ukraine 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
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