Russia Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Date: August 10, 2016
Pages: 68
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: R592666A11AEN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Russia's poultry and pork sectors will perform strongly as consumer demand is growing and domestic production is looking to bridge the gap left by EU imports, which will not resume until the end of 2017. Wheat will outperform the grains complex out to 2020 due to elevated farmgate prices in rouble terms and strong opportunities on the domestic and export markets, which will maintain production incentives. The Russian dairy sector will benefit from growth momentum until 2018 due to the EU embargo. In particular, cheese production will see solid gains in a bid to gain market share. Afterwards, dairy producers will face lower subsidies and lower prices, which will accelerate consolidation in the industry.

Key Forecasts

Wheat production growth in 2016/17: 1.6% y-o-y to 62.0mn tonnes. We maintain our 2016/17 wheat production forecast at 62.0mn tonnes, as the winter wheat harvest is in full swing. The wheat crop is shaping up to be a record high and we might revise upward our 2016/17 forecast in our Q117 report, once both winter and spring wheat harvests are complete.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Grains Outlook
Latest Updates
  Table: Russia - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook
  Table: Risks To Outlook
Structural Trends
  Table: Russia Grains Production & Consumption
Sugar Outlook
  Table: Russia - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook
  Table: Risks To Outlook
  Table: Russia Sugar Production & Consumption
Dairy Outlook
Latest Updates
  Table: Russia - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook
  Table: Russia - Risks To Dairy Outlook
Structural Trends
  Table: Dairy Production & Consumption
Livestock Outlook
Latest Updates
  Table: Russia - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook
  Table: Russia - Risks To Livestock Outlook
Structural Trends
  Table: Russia Livestock Production & Consumption (2012-2020)
Commodities Forecast
Global - Global Commodities Strategy
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Europe Machinery Outlook
  Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates)
Europe GM Outlook
Europe Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Food Sales (Russia 2013-2020)
Regional Overview
Europe Regional Overview
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Main Agribusiness Companies
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
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