Report on Analysis and Forecast of the Grain Market in China (2009-2010)

Date: November 22, 2009
Price:
US$ 1,650.00
Publisher: Beijing Shennong Kexin Agribusiness Consulting Co., Ltd
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: R8FD4C0EC62EN
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Report on Analysis and Forecast of the Grain Market in China (2009-2010)
Research Background

The Grains in this report include: Rice, Corn, Wheat and Barley.

The major changes in China's grain Market characteristics in 2009:

1 The price of chemical fertilizers, pesticides and others dropped hence the cost of planting grain generally declined
2 Drought led to reduction in Corn and Barley and slower Rice and Wheat Yield
3 China's grain import volume increased substantially due to sharp decline in international grain prices
4 Wheat and corn prices rose substantially as result of the State purchasing reserves etc, This report summarizes characteristics of China's Rice, Corn, Wheat and Barley Market in 2009 by analyzing the Production, Consumption, Import and Export situations and the growing cost-benefit and policy factors of China's grain in recent years.

This report is based on data collected from a series of authoritative organizations, such as the State Administration of Grain, Bureau of Statistics, Customs General Administration, China Grain Association, national Ministry of Agriculture, Ministry of Commerce combined with information in Domestic and International newspapers and magazines for analytical reasoning purposes.

This report provides clear, objective points and detailed and accurate data combined with quantitative analytical methods which indicate the characteristics of development and change in the 2009 China sugar market via a large number of clear, accurate charts. Additionally, the report also analyses and predicts China's Grain market in 2010.
CHAPTER 1 GRAIN POLICIES IN CHINA

1.1 Continued Promoting of direct Grain subsidy and Seed subsidy policy
1.2 Substantially Increasing the State purchasing price of Wheat and Rice
1.3 Continued implementation of Import quotas on Grain management
1.4 Reducing the tariffs on grain Export

CHAPTER 2 RICE

2.1 Rice Production in China
  2.1.1 Structure of China's Rice Production
  2.1.2 Rice Plantation Area Increases Slightly in 2009
  2.1.3 Rice Yield Remains Stablein 2009
  2.1.4 Rice Production Increases Slightly in 2009
  2.1.5 Rice Production to Increase Slightly in 2010

2.2 Costs and Benefits of Rice Planting in China
  2.2.1 Drop in Price of Chemical fertilizers and Other Agricultural Materials. Planting Costs Reduced in 2009
  2.2.2 Small Change in Output Per Unit Area in 2009
  2.2.3 Benefits of Rice Planting Increase Slightly in 2009

2.3 Analysis of China's Rice Trade
  2.3.1 Rice Export in 2009
    2.3.1.1 Export Volume Reduces slightly from same period last year
    2.3.1.2 Export Prices Increase Slightly
    2.3.1.3 Main Export to Japan, South Korea and some African Countries
    2.3.1.4 Main Rice Export from Beijing, Jiangxi and northeast provinces
  2.3.2 Rice Import in 2009
    2.3.2.1 Slight Reduction in Import Volume
    2.3.2.2 Slight Drop in Import Price
    2.3.2.3 Main Import from Thailand and mostly Imported by Guangdong Province
  2.3.3 Forecast for China's Rice Trade in 2010

2.4 Processing and Consumption of Rice in China
  2.4.1 Structure of Rice Processing in China
  2.4.2 Concentration Ratio in Chinese Rice Processing
  2.4.3 Analysis of Structure of Chinese Rice Products
  2.4.4 China's Rice Consumption Structure
  2.4.5 China's Urban Rice Consumption
  2.4.6 China's Rural Rice Consumption
  2.4.7 Forecast for China's Rice Consumption

2.5 Market Price of Rice in China
  2.5.1 Overall Price of China's Rice Remains STable
  2.5.2 Rice marketing clearly shows a strong Indica, weak Japonica trend
  2.5.3 Forecast on Market Price of Rice in China

2.6 Analysis of Supply and Demand of Rice in China between 2009 and 2010

CHAPTER 3 CORN

3.1 China's Corn Production
  3.1.1 The structure of China's Corn Production
  3.1.2 China's Corn Planting Area Increases Slightly in 2009
  3.1.3 Corn Yield declines Due to Drought
  3.1.4 Reduction in China's Corn Production in 2009
  3.1.5 China's Corn Production to Increase in 2010

3.2 Costs and Benefits of Maize Planting in China
  3.2.1 Costs of Maize Planting Reduced in 2009
  3.2.2 Corn Per unit Production Area Declines in 2009 Due to Reduced Yield
  3.2.3 Benefits of Corn Planting decline Slightly in 2009

3.3 China's Corn Trade
  3.3.1 China's Corn Export in 2009
    3.3.1.1 Substantial Reduction in Export Volume
    3.3.1.2 Export Price Drops Slightly
    3.3.1.3 Main Export to North Korea, Japan and Taiwan province, etc.
    3.3.1.4 Main Export by Dalian Customs
    3.3.1.5 Main Export by Northeast and Hebei province
  3.3.2 China's Corn Import
  3.3.3 China's Corn Trade Forecast for 2010

3.4 China's Corn Consumption
  3.4.1 Characteristics of China's Corn Consumption
  3.4.2 Changes in Feed Consumption in 2009
  3.4.3 Changes in Further Processing of Corn in 2009
  3.4.4 Forecast for China's Corn Consumption in 2010

3.5 Market Price of China's Corn
  3.5.1 Corn Spot Price Rising Steadily Due to Reduction in Corn Market Resources
  3.5.2 Limited Rise and Fall of Corn Prices in 2010

3.6 China's Corn Supply and Demand Between 2009 and 2010

CHAPTER 4 WHEAT

4.1 China's Wheat Production
  4.1.1 Structure of China's Wheat Production
  4.1.2 Slight Increase in Area ly Due to Higher Planting Benefit in 2008
  4.1.3 Yield Slows Due to Drought
  4.1.4 Production Continued Increasing in Last Six Years, However Quality Dropped in 2009
  4.1.5 Wheat Production to Continue Increasing in 2010

4.2 Cost and Benefit of China's Wheat Production
  4.2.1 Price Drop of Chemical Fertilizers and Other Agricultural Materials, Planting Cost Declines in 2009
  4.2.2 Substantial Rise in Wheat Price, Increase in Wheat Value Per Unit Area
  4.2.3 Steady Increase in Wheat Planting Benefits in 2009

4.3 Analysis of China's Wheat Trade
  4.3.1 Analysis of China's Wheat Import
    4.3.1.1 Substantial Increase in Import Volume
    4.3.1.2 Import Price remains Stable
    4.3.1.3 Main Imports from the U.S. and Australia
    4.3.1.4 Main Imports by Guangdong, Jiangsu and Zhejiang Province
  4.3.2 Analysis of China's Wheat Export
  4.3.3 Forecast for China's Wheat Trade in 2010

4.4 China's Wheat Processing
  4.4.1 Structure of Chinese Flour Enterprises
  4.4.2 Concentration Ratio of Chinese Wheat Processing
  4.4.3 Analysis of Structure of China's Flour Products
  4.4.4 Analysis of China's Wheat Flour Output

4.5 Analysis of China's Wheat Flour Trade
  4.5.1 Analysis of China's Wheat Flour Export
    4.5.1.1 Export Volume Remains Stable
    4.5.1.2 Small Decline in Export Price
    4.5.1.3 Main Exports to Hong Kong, Macau and North Korea, etc.
    4.5.1.4 Main Exports by Guangdong Province
  4.5.2 Analysis of China's Flour Import

4.6 China's Wheat Consumption
  4.6.1 China's Urban Wheat Consumption
  4.6.2 China's Rural Wheat Consumption
  4.6.3 Forecast for China's Wheat Consumption

4.7 Market Price of China's Wheat
  4.7.1 Wheat Spot Price Hits a High Record
  4.7.2 Wheat Price to be raised to Become Stablein 2010

4.8 China's Wheat Supply and Demand between 2009 and 2010

CHAPTER 5 BARLEY

5.1 China's Barley Production
  5.1.1 Structure of China's Barley Production
  5.1.2 Barley Acreage and Production Declines in 2009
  5.1.3 Probability for Barley Production to Decline in 2010

5.2 China's Barley Trade in 2009
  5.2.1 Substantial Increase in Import Volume
  5.2.2 Import Price Declines
  5.2.3 Main Imports from Australia, Canada and France
  5.2.4 Imports by Liaoning, Jiangsu and Shandong and Others
  5.2.5 Main Imports by Dalian, Qingdao and Nanjing Customs
  5.2.6 Forecast for China's Barley Trade in 2010

5.3 China's Barley Consumption
  5.3.1 Structure of China's Barley Consumption
  5.3.2 Steady Feed Consumption
  5.3.3 Malting Barley Consumption Continues to Increase
  5.3.4 Forecast for Barley Consumption in 2010

5.4 China's Barley Supply and Demand Between 2009 and 2010

ATTACHED TableS AND FigureS

Figure 1 Structure of China's Rice Production
Figure 2 China's Rice Plantation Area, 2000-2008
Figure 3 China's Early, Middle and Late Rice Yield, 2000-2008
Figure 4 China's Rice Production, 2000-2008
Figure 5 Cost of Planting Rice in China, 2000-2008
Figure 6 China's Rice Output Per Unit Area, 2000-2008
Figure 7 Benefits of Planting Rice in China, 2000-2008
Figure 8 China's Rice Export Volume by Month, 2008-2009
Figure 9 China's Rice Export Price by Month, 2008-2009
Figure 10 Chinese Rice Export by Country
Figure 11 China's Rice Export by Province, 2008-2009
Figure 12 China's Rice Import Volume by Month, 2008-2009
Figure 13 China's Rice Import Price by Month, 2008-2009
Figure 14 Chinese Rice Import by Country, 2008-2009
Figure 15 China's Rice Export by Province, 2008-2009
Figure 16 Output of China's Rice by Province, 2009
Figure 17 Concentration Ratio of Chinese Rice Processing in 2009
Figure 18 Structure of China's Rice Products in 2009
Figure 19 Characteristics of China's Rice Consumption
Figure 20 Rice Consumption Per Capita of Chinese cities and towns
Figure 21 Rice Consumption Per Capita of Chinese Rural Areas
Figure 22 Wholesale Price of Early and Late Rice in China, 2007 -2009
Figure 23 Price of Chinese Japonica and Indica Rice, 2007-2009
Figure 24 Structure of China's Corn Production
Figure 25 China's Corn Plantation Area, 2000-2008
Figure 26 China's Corn Yield, 2000-2008
Figure 27 China's Corn Production, 2000-2008
Figure 28 Cost of Planting Corn in China, 2000-2008
Figure 29 Output of China's Corn Per Unit Area, 2000-2008
Figure 30 Benefits of Planting Corn in China, 2000-2008
Figure 31 China's Corn Export Volume by Month, 2007-2009
Figure 32 China's Corn Export Price by Month, 2007-2009
Figure 33 Geographical Distribution of China's Corn Export in 2009
Figure 34 China's Corn Export by Customs in 2009
Figure 35 China's Export by Province in 2009
Figure 36 China's Corn Import Volume by Month, 2007-2009
Figure 37 Structure of China's Corn Consumption
Figure 38 Corn Feed Consumption in China
Figure 39 Consumption of Further Processed Corn in China
Figure 40 Wholesale Price of Corn in Various Regions in China
Figure 41 Structure of China's Wheat Production
Figure 42 China's Wheat Plantation Area, 2000-2008
Figure 43 China's Wheat Yield, 2000-2008
Figure 44 China's Wheat Production, 2000-2008
Figure 45 Cost of Planting Wheat in China, 2000-2008
Figure 46 Output of China's Wheat Per Unit Area, 2000-2008
Figure 47 Benefits of Planting Wheat in China, 2000-2008
Figure 48 China's Wheat Import Volume by Month, 2007-2009
Figure 49 China's Wheat Import Price by Month, 2007-2009
Figure 50 China's Wheat Import by Country in 2009
Figure 51 China's Wheat Import by Province in 2009
Figure 52 China's Wheat Export Volume by Month, 2007-2009
Figure 53 China's Flour Output by Province in 2009
Figure 54 Concentration Ratio of Chinese Wheat Processing in 2008
Figure 55 Structure of China's Flour Products in 2008
Figure 56 China's Wheat Flour Output by Month, 2007-2009
Figure 57 China's Flour Export Volume by Month, 2007-2009
Figure 58 China's Flour Export Price by Month, 2007-2009
Figure 59 Geographical Distribution of China's Flour Export in 2009
Figure 60 Volume of Flour Export by Guangdong Province
Figure 61 Wheat Consumption Per Capita of Chinese cities and towns
Figure 62 Per Capita Wheat Consumption of Chinese Rural Areas
Figure 63 Volume of Wheat Purchased by the State
Figure 64 China's Wholesale Wheat Price, 2007-2009
Figure 65 Structure of China's Barley Production
Figure 67 China's Barley Plantation Area, 2000-2008
Figure 67 China's Barley Yield, 2000-2008
Figure 68 China's Barley Production, 2000-2008
Figure 69 China's Barley Import Volume by Month, 2008-2009
Figure 70 China's Barley Import Price by Month, 2008-2009
Figure 71 China's Barley Import by Original Country
Figure 72 China's Barley Import by Province
Figure 73 China's Barley Import by Customs
Figure 74 China's Barley Feed Consumption
Figure 75 China's Beer Output by Month, 2007 ~ 2009

Table 1 China's Early Rice Plantation Area by Province, 2000 ~ 2008
Table 2 China's Middle Rice Plantation Area by Province, 2000 ~ 2008
Table 3 China's Late Rice Plantation Area by Province, 2000 ~ 2008
Table 4 China's Rice Plantation Area by Province, 2000 ~ 2008
Table 5 China's Early Rice Production by Province, 2000 ~ 2008
Table 6 China's Middle Rice Production by Province, 2000 ~ 2008
Table 7 China's Late Rice Production by Province, 2000 ~ 2008
Table 8 China's Rice Production by Province, 2000 ~ 2008
Table 9 Cost of Planting Early Rice in China, 2003-2008
Table 10 Cost of Planting Middle Rice in China, 2003-2008
Table 11 Cost of Planting Late Rice in China, 2003-2008
Table 12 Benefits of Planting Early Rice by Province in 2008
Table 13 Benefits of Planting Middle Rice by Province in 2008
Table 14 13 Benefits of Planting Late Rice by Province in 2008
Table 15 Chinese Rice Export by Country 2002 ~ 2009
Table 16 Supply and Demand of China's Rice Between 2009 and 2010
Table 17 China's Corn Plantation Area by Province, 2000 ~ 2008
Table 18 China's Corn Production by Province, 2000 ~ 2008
Table 19 Cost of Planting Corn by Province in 2008
Table 20 China's Corn Export by Country
Table 21 Supply and Demand of China's Corn Between 2009 and 2010
Table 22 China's Wheat Plantation Area by Province, 2000 ~ 2008
Table 23 China's Wheat Production by Province, 2000 ~ 2008
Table 24 Quality of Chinese Wheat, 2006 ~ 2009
Table 25 Cost of Planting Wheat by Province in 2008
Table 26 Benefits of Planting Wheat by Province in 2008
Table 27 China's Wheat Import by Country, 2002 ~ 2009
Table 28 China's Wheat Flour Export by Country of Destination, 2002-2009
Table 29 Amounts Purchased From State Wheat Reserves, Contributing to Wheat Circulation 2006-2009
Table 30 Supply and Demand of China's Wheat between 2009 and 2010
Table 31 China's Barley Plantation Area by Province, 2000 ~ 2008
Table 32 China's Barley Production by Province, 2000 ~ 2008
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