Report on Analysis and Forecast of China Cotton Market (2009-2010)

Date: November 22, 2009
Price:
US$ 1,650.00
Publisher: Beijing Shennong Kexin Agribusiness Consulting Co., Ltd
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: R35F9D36105EN
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Report on Analysis and Forecast of China Cotton Market (2009-2010)
Research Background

The main characteristics of China cotton market in 2009 are as follows:

(1) Cotton market is driven by policies in 2009. When a large number of new cotton came into the market in 2008, the great amount of cotton purchased by government resulted in the tight cotton supply in 2008/2009, market resources and especially the high-grade cotton declined, and cotton prices continued to rise. In order to stabilize the cotton market, guarantee the market supply, and meet the needs of textile enterprises, the state decided to auction 1.5 million tons of reserve cotton. Impacted by the continuous rain, the time for coming into the market has been delayed when the first batch sale of reserves will be finished. The state issued the second batch of 0.6 million tons cotton reserves. With cotton inventories of being depleted, textile enterprises future deepen the dependence on national reserve cotton, auction has become a dominant factor affecting the cotton market.

(2) Significant Decline in China cotton production in 2009. The planting acreage in major cotton producing regions sharply decreased in 2009 as the production value was lower than production cost. Meanwhile, affected by adverse weather conditions, cotton yield declined. Cotton production in 2009 is estimated at 6.78 million MT, down by 15% from 2008.

(3) Cotton imports recorded the biggest drop in 10 years. Limiting the allocation of import quotas, the government controlled cotton imports effectively. The government only allocated tariff quotas of 0.894 million MT, and the succedent processing trade quotas of 0.4 million MT. Cotton imports in 2009 fell sharply, the biggest drop since 2000.

(4) Cotton consumption slowly recoverd. Production and export of textile industry gradually rebounded, cotton consumption slowly recovered, driven by the global revival in the consumption and the domestic demand.

How will change in China cotton market in 2009/2010? This report provides a detailed analysis of cotton industry policies, the cotton production and trade, economic situations of textile industry, cotton prices and supply-demand balance, etc, in 2008/2009. And also forecasts changes of cotton market in 2009/2010. Hope that will be helpful to your work.
PART ONE: ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF COTTON INDUSTRY POLICIES

1.1 Cotton Import Policies
  1.1.1 Allocation and Administration of Cotton Import Quotas
  1.1.2 Registration Management Implementation upon the Overseas Cotton Supplier Enterprise
1.2 Subsidies for Superior Cotton Varieties Overall Cover the Country in 2009
1.3 Analysis of Procurement and Auction Policies of Cotton Reserves
  1.3.1 Analysis of Cotton Reserves for Each Purchase and Auction
  1.3.2 Analysis of Auction of Cotton Reserves in 2009
1.4 Implement Plans For Adjusting and Reinvigorating Textile Industry
1.5 Textile and Apparel Export Policies
  1.5.1 Increasing Export Tax Rebates Not to Improve Export Capacity of Textile and Apparel Export Enterprises
  1.5.2 Reduce/Abolish Entry-Exit Inspection and Quarantine Fee of Partial Textile and Apparel
1.6 Cotton Quality Inspection System Reform Enter the Final Year
1.7 Forecast of Polices of China Government in 2010

PART TWO: ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF CHARACTERISTICS OF CHINA COTTON PRODUCTION IN 2009

2.1 Characteristics and Variation in China Cotton Production
  2.1.1 Characteristics of China Cotton Production in 2009
  2.1.2 Distribution of China Cotton Producing Region
2.2 Analysis of Production Costs and Benefits of China Cotton
  2.2.1 Variation in Production Costs and Benefits of China Cotton
  2.2.2 Analysis of Production Costs and Benefits of Main Crops
  2.2.3 Analysis of Production Costs and Benefits of Major Cotton Producing Provinces
2.3 Forecast of China Cotton Production in 2010
  2.3.1 Slight Increase in Cotton Planting Acreage in 2010
  2.3.2 Increase in Cotton Planting Benefits in China in 2010 from the Previous Year

PART THREE: ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF CHARACTERISTICS OF CHINA COTTON TRADE IN 2009

3.1 Characteristics of China Cotton Import in 2009
  3.1.1 Significant Decrease in China Cotton Import
  3.1.2 Variation in China Uncombed Cotton Import Prices
  3.1.3 Analysis of Cotton Import by Original Country
  3.1.4 Analysis of Cotton Import by Province
  3.1.5 Imported Cotton for Processing: the Major Trade Mode
  3.1.6 Analysis of Main Cotton Import Enterprises

3.2 Characteristics of China Cottn Export in 2009
  3.2.1 Shrink Again in China Cottn Export in 2009
  3.2.2 Asia: the Major Export Destination

3.3 Forecast of Trends for China Cotton Trade in 2010

PART FOUR: ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF ECONOMIC SITUATIONS OF CHINA TEXTILE INDUSTRY

4.1 Analysis and Forecast of China Yarn Production in 2009
  4.1.1 Variation in China Yarn Production in 2009
  4.1.2 Yarn Production by Province
  4.1.3 Distribution of China Cotton Spining Enterprises
  4.1.4 Forecast of China Yarn Production in 2010

4.2 Analysis and Forecast of China Cotton Cloth Production in 2009
  4.2.1 Variation in China Cotton Cloth Production in 2009
  4.2.2 Cotton Cloth Production by Province
  4.2.3 Forecast of China Cotton Cloth Production in 2010

4.3 Analysis and Forecast of Characteristics of China Cotton Yarn Trade in 2009
  4.3.1 Characteristics of China Cotton Yarn Trade in 2009
  4.3.2 Forecast of Trends for Cotton Yarn Trade in 2010

4.4 Analysis and Forecast of Characteristics of China Cotton Cloth Trade in 2009
  4.4.1 Characteristics of China Cotton Cloth Trade in 2009
  4.4.2 Forecast of Trends for Cotton Cloth Trade in 2010

4.5 Analysis and Forecast of Characteristics of China Textile and Apparel Export
  4.5.1 Significant Decline in Textile and Apparel Export Value in 2009
  4.5.2 Analysis of Major Export Destinations
  4.5.3 Analysis of Major Export Provinces
  4.5.4 Forecast of Trends for Textile and Apparel Export in 2010

PART FIVE: ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF CHINA COTTON MARKET PRICES IN 2009

5.1 Variation in China Cotton Market Prices
  5.1.1 Variation in Demestic Cotton Prices in Spot Market
  5.1.2 Variation in Purchasing Prices of New Cotton in 2009
  5.1.3 Variation in ZCE Cotton Futures Prices
  5.1.4 Variation in CNCE E-Forward Market Price
  5.1.5 Variation in ICE Cotton Futures Prices

5.2 Comparison Analysis between Domestic Cotton Prices and Imported Cotton Prices
5.3 Comparison Analysis between Cotton Prices and Prices of Polyester Staple & Rayon Staple
5.4 Variation inYarn Prices of C32S, JC40S, TC45S and OE10S
5.5 Variation in Processing Profit of Cotton Textile Industry in 2009
5.6 Forecast of Price Trends for China Cotton Spot in 2010

PART SIX: ANALYSIS AND FORECAST OF SUPPLY-DEMAND EQUILIBRIUM OF CHINA COTTON IN 2009

6.1 Analysis of the Supply-Demand Equilibrium of China Cotton in 2009/2010
6.2 Forecast of the Supply-Demand Equilibrium of China Cotton in 2010/2011

ATTACHED TABLES AND FIGURES

Table 1 Allocation and Out of Import Tariff Quota
Table 2 Cotton Reserves for Each Purchase and Auction
Table 3 Auction Policies of Cotton Reserves and Background in 2009
Table 4 China Cotton Planting Acreage by Region, 2000~2009
Table 5 China Cotton Production by Region, 2000~2009
Table 6 China Cotton Yield by Region, 2000~2009
Table 7 Characteristics of China Major Cotton-Growing Regions
Table 8 Planting Structure of Major Farm Crops in China Cotton-Growing Regions, 2008
Table 9 Planting Costs and Benefits of China Cotton, 2000~2008
Table 10 Costs and Benefits in Major Cotton Producing Regions in 2008
Table 11 Costs and Benefits of Wheat, Corn, Peanut and Cotton in Shandong, 2008
Table 12 Costs and Benefits of Rice, Wheat, Rapeseed and Cotton in Hubei, 2008
Table 13 Costs and Benefits of Corn, Wheat and Cotton in Xinjiang, 2008
Table 14 China Cotton Import Volume by Month, 2000~2009
Table 15 China Cotton Import Volume by Original Country, 2000~2009
Table 16 China Cotton Import Volume by Province, 2000~2009
Table 17 China Cotton Import Volume by Mode, 2005~2009
Table 18 Import Volume of Main Import Enterprises of Uncombed cotton, 2004~2009
Table 19 Main Cotton Spining Enterprises and Their Cotton Spindles
Table 20 China Yarn Production by Province, 2000~2009
Table 21 China Cotton Cloth Production by Province, 2000~2009
Table 22 China Import and Export Volume of Cotton Yarn by Month, 2009
Table 23 China Import and Export Volume of Cotton Cloth by Month, 2009
Table 24 China Textile and Apparel Export Value by Province, 2009
Table 25 China Textile and Apparel Export Value by Country and Region, 2009
Table 26 China Cotton Supply and Demand, 2002/03~2010/11

Figure 1 Trading Volume and Prices of Cotton Reserves for Each Auction in China in 2009
Figure 2 Distribution of China Cotton Production
Figure 3 China Cotton Planting Acreage and Total Production, 1981~2009
Figure 4 China Cotton Yield, 1981~2009
Figure 5 China Cotton Planting Areas by Region, 1981~2009
Figure 6 China Cotton Production by Region, 1981~2009
Figure 7 Planting Costs and Benefits of China Cotton, 1990~2008
Figure 8 China Uncombed Cotton Import Volume by Month, 2005~2009
Figure 9 China Uncombed Cotton Import Prices, 2005~2009
Figure 10 China Uncombed Cotton Imports by Original Country, 2009
Figure 11 China Uncombed Cotton Imports by Province, 2009
Figure 12 Comparison of China Uncombed Cotton Imports by Mode, 2005-2009
Figure 13 China Uncombed Cotton Imports by Mode, 2009
Figure 14 China Uncombed Cotton Export Volume by Month, 2005~2009
Figure 15 China Uncombed Cotton Exports by Country of Destination, 2009
Figure 16 China Yarn Production & Increase Rate, 1999-2009
Figure 17 Distribution of China Yarn Production, 2009
Figure 18 Yarn Production of Major Producing Provinces, 2009
Figure 19 Distribution of Main Cotton Spining Enterprises in China
Figure 20 China Cotton Cloth Production & Increase Rate, 1999-2009
Figure 21 Distribution of China Cotton Cloth Production, 2009
Figure 22 Cotton Cloth Production of Major Producing Provinces, 2009
Figure 23 China Import and Export Volume of Cotton Yarn, 1999-2009
Figure 24 China Import and Export Volume of Cotton Cloth, 1999-2009
Figure 25 China Textile and Apparel Export Value & Increase Rate, 2006~2009
Figure 26 Comparison between FC Index M and CC Index 328
Figure 27 Comparison between Cotton Prices and Prices of Polyester Staple & Rayon Staple, 2007~2009
Figure 28 Cotton Prices in CNCE, ZCE and ICE, 2005~2009
Figure 29 Prices of Grade-328 Cotton in the Yellow River Region, 2008~2009
Figure 30 Prices of Grade-328 Cotton in the Northwest, 2008~2009
Figure 31 Prices of Grade-328 Cotton in the Yangtze Region, 2008~2009
Figure 32 Purchasing Prices of Grade-3 Seed Cotton, 2009
Figure 33 Yarn Prices of C32S, JC40S, TC45S and OE10S, 2007~2009
Figure 34 Prices of Cotton Seed and Cotton Oil, 2007~2009
Figure 35 Processing Profit of Cotton Textile Industry, 2005~2009
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