Philippines Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Date: August 17, 2016
Pages: 79
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: P781D335577EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We hold a positive view on the Philippines' agribusiness sector in the long term, given the country's potential for expansion into new sectors, such as palm oil. We particularly like the outlook for sugar mills and believe the livestock sector will continue to show healthy growth rates. The Philippines' vast consumption market along with some government support, will foster domestic and foreign investment and favour output expansion. However, backyard farming and infrastructure problems, especially transport costs, will continue to hamper the sector's growth. These inefficiencies will become increasingly crippling as South East Asia moves towards the ASEAN Economic Community, which is supposed to lead to trade and investment liberalisation in the region. Although the Philippines' government appears to have taken the measure of the challenge and is now supporting rice and sugar production, agriculture in the country remains uncompetitive. As such, the sector is at risk of low cost imports from its neighbours over the medium term.

Key Forecasts
  • Sugar production growth to 2019/20: 21.0% to 2.8mn tonnes. Sugar production growth will be driven by improvements in yields. The government approved the Sugarcane Industry Development Act, which is aiming at diversifying the sugar sector towards more value-added products and will provide financing to farmers.
  • Poultry production growth to 2019/20: 16.3% to 1.3mn tonnes. Poultry production will record steady but unspectacular growth. Growth will be driven by investment, both domestic and foreign.
  • Milk production growth to 2019/20: 23.4% to 25,100 tonnes. Milk and other dairy production will remain very low in the Philippines, although it will record strong growth due to low base effects. The government is committed to increase domestic supply of liquid milk, via National Dairy Development Plan.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Grains Outlook
Latest Updates
  Table: Philippines - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook
  Table: Philippines - Risks To Grains Outlook
Structural Trends
  Table: Grains Production & Consumption (Philippines 2013-2020)
Rice Outlook
Latest Updates
  Table: Philippines - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook
  Table: Philippines - Risks To Rice Outlook
Structural Trends
  Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Philippines 2013-2020)
Sugar Outlook
Latest Updates
  Table: Philippines - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook
  Table: Philippines - Risks To Sugar Outlook
Latest Updates
  Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Philippines 2013-2020)
Dairy Outlook
Latest Updates
  Table: Philippines - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook
  Table: Philippines - Risks To Dairy Outlook
Structural Trends
  Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Philippines 2012-2020)
Livestock Outlook
Latest Updates
  Table: Philippines - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook
  Table: Philippines - Risks To Livestock Outlook
Structural Trends
  Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Philippines 2012-2020)
Commodities Price Analysis
Global - Global Commodities Strategy
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Asia GM Outlook
  Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares)
Asia Machinery Outlook
  Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares
Asia Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
  Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Philippines 2012-2019)
  Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Philippines 2012-2019)
  Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Philippines 2014-2019)
Regional Overview
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Major Agribusiness Companies
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Philippines 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Philippines 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Philippines 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Philippines 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Philippines 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
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