Malaysia Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

Date: December 9, 2015
Pages: 73
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Malaysia's agribusiness sector is experiencing challenging times, as its most emblematic sector, the palm oil industry, is undermined by low prices and growing structural challenges. The cocoa sector is in an even worse position, suffering a severe decline after the stellar performance of the 1990s. The cocoa processing sector is facing increasing competition from Indonesia and is losing market share at a fast pace. The medium term outlook is brighter, amidst strong growth prospects in the poultry sector and opportunities for value added palm based oleochemical exports. Malaysia will have to remain ahead of its biggest competitor, Indonesia, if its agribusiness sector is to stay afloat. As such, the next challenge for the country resides in the economic integration of ASEAN. The ASEAN Economic Community will present some opportunities, for example for poultry exports. However, it also poses risks to the future of the sugar refining sector.

Key Forecasts
  • Palm oil production growth to 2018/19: 8.1% to 21.8mn tonnes. Growth will be supported as companies replant mature estates and yields improve on the back of better technology.
  • Poultry production growth to 2018/19: 18.2% to 1.6mn tonnes. After a decade of strong growth, we forecast poultry meat production to grow at a moderate pace in the coming years, as rising production costs are undermining the development of the sector. Malaysia will maintain a fragile self-sufficiency in poultry.
  • Cocoa consumption growth to 2019: -16.4% to 217,000 tonnes. Cocoa processing in Malaysia is on the decline, due to the drop in domestic cocoa bean supply and increased grinding competition from Indonesia, which has emerged as a leading processed cocoa exporter at the expense of Malaysia.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Palm Oil Outlook
  Table: Malaysia - Palm Oil Production And Consumption Outlook
  Table: Malaysia - Risks To Palm Oil Outlook
  Table: Palm Oil Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2011-2019)
Sugar Outlook
  Table: Malaysia - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook
  Table: Malaysia - Risks To Sugar Outlook
  Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2011-2019)
Cocoa Outlook
  Table: Malaysia - Cocoa Production And Consumption Outlook
  Table: Malaysia - Risks To Cocoa Outlook
  Table: Cocoa Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2011-2019)
Livestock Outlook
  Table: Malaysia - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook
  Table: Malaysia - Risks To Livestock Outlook
  Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2011-2019)
  Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2011-2019)
  Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Malaysia 2011-2019)
Commodity Price Analysis
Global Commodities Strategy
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Asia GM Outlook
  Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares)
Asia Machinery Outlook
  Table: China Grain Public Production Support Programme (Cnybn)
  Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares
Asia Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
  Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Malaysia 2012-2019)
  Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Malaysia 2012-2019)
Oils And Fats
  Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Malaysia 2014-2019)
Regional Overview
  Table: Impact Of El Nino On Crops
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Main Agribusiness Players
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Malaysia 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Malaysia 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Malaysia 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Malaysia 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
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