Kazakhstan Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

Date: March 2, 2016
Pages: 61
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The interest of foreign investors in the Kazakhstan livestock industry supports our view that this is the sub-sector with most growth potential. Poultry production in particular is expected to perform well over the next five years. The development of the livestock industry ties into another key trend we expect to take hold over our forecast period: the diversification of arable production away from the bedrock commodity, wheat. Feed grains will assume greater importance, particularly corn, in the grains complex. The dairy industry is growing from a weaker base than that enjoyed by meat producers, so we expect statefunded schemes to play a more significant role in its medium-term development and modernisation.

Key BMI Forecasts
  • Wheat production growth to 2019/20: 12.7% to 14.6mn tonnes. Much of this growth will be due to base effects, but improving yields will also support modest annual increases in output. This is despite declining acreage due to subsidies incentivising sowings of other field crops.
  • Milk consumption growth to 2020: 17.0% to 5.3mn tonnes. Demand will be held back in the short term by the challenging macroeconomic situation, but we expect strong growth to return in the later years of our forecast period.
  • 2016 real GDP growth: 1.0%, down from 1.3% in 2015.
  • 2016 average consumer price inflation: 12.5% y-o-y, up from 7.0% y-o-y in 2015.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Dairy Outlook
  Table: Kazakhstan - Dairy Production & Consumption Outlook
  Table: Risks To Outlook
  Table: Dairy Production & Consumption (Kazakhstan 2012-2020)
Livestock Outlook
  Table: Kazakhstan - Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook
  Table: Risks To Outlook
  Table: Livestock Production & Consumption (Kazakhstan 2012-2020)
Grains Outlook
  Table: Kazakhstan - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook
  Table: Risks To Outlook
  Table: Grains Production & Consumption (Kazakhstan 2012-2020)
Commodities Price Analysis
Global - Global Commodities Strategy
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Europe Machinery Outlook
  Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates)
Europe Fertiliser Outlook
Europe GM Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Regional Overview
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
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