Bangladesh Agribusiness Report Q4 2016

Date: August 10, 2016
Pages: 66
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: B2D735340DCEN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We have made some forecast revisions to the Bangladeshi agricultural sector in this quarterly update. Nevertheless, we maintain our cautious outlook towards the agricultural sector over the short-term. The limited arable land available for acreage expansion, along with poor safety standards, will continue to constrain production growth over our current forecast period out to 2020. Logistical problems and structural concerns plague the agricultural industry, particularly the transportation of food within the country. Looking ahead, over the long-term, we believe that there is significant room for growth and improvement in subsectors such as grains and livestock. That said, as the agricultural sector in Bangladesh employs close to 50% of the working population but contributes under 20% of the country's GDP, there is an obvious need for improvement in efficiency of operations. GM food policy is also an interesting area to look at, as Bangladesh is undoubtedly one of the most open countries to GM food cultivation in Asia.

Key Forecasts
  • Wheat production growth to 2019/20: 1.37mn tonnes. The main driver behind this growth will be an improvement in yields. Wheat cultivation remains a preferred option for non-irrigated land given the low requirement for input use (fertiliser, insecticides and labour).
  • Sugar production growth to 2019/20: 131,000 tonnes. Production will fail to return to the levels reached in the early 2000s. With farmers increasingly planting more profitable cash crops, such as cotton, we do not foresee sugar production to pick up significantly any time soon.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Rice Outlook
  Table: Bangladesh - Rice Production & Consumption Outlook
  Table: Key Risks To Outlook
  Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)
Grains Outlook
  Table: Bangladesh - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook
  Table: Key Risks To Outlook
  Table: Grains Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)
Sugar Outlook
  Table: Bangladesh - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook
  Table: Key Risks To Outlook
  Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)
Livestock Outlook
  Table: Bangladesh - Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook
  Table: Key Risks To Outlook
  Table: Livestock Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)
  Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2010-2015)
Commodities Price Analysis
Global - Global Commodities Strategy
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Asia Machinery Outlook
  Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares
Asia GM Outlook
  Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares)
Asia Fertiliser Outlook
Regional Overview
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Bangladesh Competitive Landscape
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
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