Bangladesh Agribusiness Report Q2 2016

Date: January 27, 2016
Pages: 58
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We hold a cautious outlook towards the Bangladesh agriculture sector over the short term. The limited amount of arable land available for acreage expansion, as well as poor safety standards, will constrain growth over our forecast period. Structural problems still plague the industry, in particular the logistical challenges of food transportation within the country. Over the long term, we believe there is much more room for growth and improvement in sub-sectors such as grains and livestock. That said, as the agricultural sector in Bangladesh employs close to 70% of the working population but contributes only 20% of the country's GDP, there is an obvious need for improvement in efficiency of operations. GM food policy is also an interesting area to look out, as Bangladesh is undoubtedly one of the most open countries to GM food cultivation in Asia.

Key Forecasts
  • Wheat production growth to 2019/20: 25.4% on the 2013/14 level to 1.6mn tonnes. The main driver behind this growth will be an improvement in yields. Wheat cultivation remains a preferred option for non-irrigated land given the low requirement for input use (fertiliser, insecticides and labour).
  • Sugar production growth to 2019/20: 16.5% growth to 151,000 tonnes. Production will fail to return to the levels reached in the early 2000s. With farmers increasingly planting more profitable cash crops, such as cotton, we do not foresee sugar production to pick up significantly any time soon.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Rice Outlook
  Table: Bangladesh - Rice Production & Consumption Outlook
  Table: Key Risks To Outlook
  Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)
Grains Outlook
  Table: Bangladesh - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook
  Table: Key Risks To Outlook
  Table: Grains Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)
Sugar Outlook
  Table: Bangladesh - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook
  Table: Key Risks To Outlook
  Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)
Livestock Outlook
  Table: Bangladesh - Livestock Production & Consumption Outlook
  Table: Key Risks To Outlook
  Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)
  Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2012-2020)
Commodities Price Analysis
Global Commodities Strategy
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Asia GM Outlook
  Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares)
Asia Machinery Outlook
  Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares
Asia Fertiliser Outlook
Regional Overview
  Table: Impact Of El NiƱo On Crops
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Bangladesh - Major Agribusiness Companies
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
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