Bangladesh Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

Date: October 28, 2015
Pages: 62
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: B65B20B1F29EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We hold a cautious outlook towards the Bangladesh agriculture sector over the short term. The recent discovery of high levels of toxic substances in poultry feed provides much cause for concern as it reflects on the low food safety standards employed by the country, even in its largest agriculture sector. Indeed, structural problems still plague the industry. In the medium term, for example, the frequent occurrences of strikes, or hartals and road blockages, will keep our optimism for the industry at bay as these often aggravate the logistical challenges of food transportation within the country, causing the biggest headache to farmers. Over the long term, we believe there is much more room for growth and improvement in sub-sectors such as grains and livestock. That said, as the agriculture sector in Bangladesh employs close to 70% of the working population but contributes only 20% of the country's GDP, there is an obvious need for improvement in efficiency of operations. Genetically modified (GM) food policy is also an interesting area to look out for as Bangladesh is undoubtedly one of the most open Asian countries to GM food cultivation.

Key Forecasts

Wheat production growth to 2018/19: 17.8% on the 2013/14 level to 1.5mn tonnes. The main driver behind this growth will be an improvement in yields. Wheat cultivation remains a preferred option for non-irrigated land given the low requirement for input use (fertiliser, insecticides and labour).
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Rice Outlook
  Table: Bangladesh - Rice Production & Consumption Outlook
  Table: Risks To Outlook
  Table: Rice Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2011-2019)
Grains Outlook
  Table: Bangladesh - Grains Production & Consumption Outlook
  Table: Risks To Outlook
  Table: Grains Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2011-2019)
Sugar Outlook
  Table: Bangladesh - Sugar Production & Consumption Outlook
  Table: Risks To Outlook
  Table: Sugar Production & Consumption, 2011-2019
Livestock Outlook
  Table: Risks To Outlook
  Table: Risks To Outlook
  Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2011-2019)
  Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Bangladesh 2011-2019)
Commodities Price Analysis
Global Commodities Strategy
  Table: Select Commodities - Performance And Bmi Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Asia GM Outlook
  Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use
Asia Machinery Outlook
  Table: China Grain Public Production Support Programme (Cnybn)
  Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares
Asia Fertiliser Outlook
Regional Overview
  Table: Impact Of El Nino On Crops
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Bangladesh - Major Agribusiness Companies
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Bangladesh 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
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