Venezuela Retail Report Q3 2016

Date: July 27, 2016
Pages: 57
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: V82B029D67DEN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: In the long term, the outlook for the Venezuelan retail sector is favourable, with the country's urbanised population and growing middle class set to drive demand for non-essential items. However, in the short term, retailers face significant challenges. The government's highly interventionist stance, as well as low oil prices, high inflation, difficulties in getting foreign currency and shortages of basic goods, make operating in Venezuela challenging.

Key Views And Developments
  • Total household retail spending will rise from USD202.4bn in 2016 to USD494.3bn in 2020, after sharp fluctuations in recent years.
  • Groceries will be the single largest component of household retail spending, at almost 33%, cementing the importance of essential products in the Venezuelan retail basket. We see no change in the overall composition of Venezuelan retail spending over our forecast period.
  • Venezuela's population will grow from 31.5mn in 2016 to 33.1mn by 2020.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Total Household Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Venezuela 2013-2020)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of GDP (Venezuela 2013-2020)
  Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020)
Retail Sector Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Food And Drink
  Table: Food, Drink And Tobacco Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020)
Clothing And Footwear
  Table: Clothing And Footwear Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020)
Household Goods
  Table: Household Goods Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020)
Personal Care
  Table: Personal Care Spending (Venezuela 2013-2020)
Household Income And Numbers Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Household Income Data (Venezuela 2013-2020)
  Table: Labour Market Data (Venezuela 2013-2020)
Demographic Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Total Population (Venezuela 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Babies (Venezuela 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Children (Venezuela 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Teens And Older Children (Venezuela 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young People (Venezuela 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Venezuela 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: 21 Years Plus (Venezuela 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Adults (Venezuela 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Middle Aged (Venezuela 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Urban/Rural (Venezuela 2013-2020)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Latin America And The Caribbean Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Latin America And The Caribbean Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316
Venezuela - Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Structural Trends
Shopping Centres
Department Stores
Clothing And Footwear
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement
Pharmacies And Drugstores
Competitive Landscape
Clothing And Footwear
  Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement
  Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers
  Table: Selected Electronics Retailers
Department Stores
  Table: Selected Department Stores
  Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers
Pharmacies And Drugstores
  Table: Selected Pharmacies And Drug Stores
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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