Venezuela Retail Report Q1 2016

Date: January 20, 2016
Pages: 60
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We continue to have a gloomy outlook for the Venezuelan retail sector over the medium term.

The country's economic troubles, including a low oil price, high inflation and weak exchange rate, as well as the government's highly interventionist stance, will continue to dampen consumer and investor confidence in the country.

We forecast that total household spending will reach VEF7,342.1bn in 2016, equivalent to USD1978.7bn.

By 2019 these figures should be VEF21,576,2bn and USD333.8bn.

High inflation is driving the rapid growth in bolivar terms, but is rapidly eroding real wages and curbing consumer confidence.

The government's attempts to control prices of basic goods, meanwhile, have led to shortages that have increased the role of the black market in the economy and kept the proportion of spending that goes on essential goods high.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
  Table: Total Household Spending (Venezuela 2012-2019)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Venezuela 2012-2019)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of GDP (Venezuela 2012-2019)
  Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Retail Sector Forecast
Food And Drink
  Table: Food, Drink And Tobacco Spending (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Clothing And Footwear
  Table: Clothing And Footwear Spending (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Household Goods
  Table: Household Goods Spending (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Personal Care
  Table: Personal Care Spending (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Household Income And Numbers Forecast
  Table: Household Income Data (Venezuela 2012-2019)
  Table: Labour Market Data (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Total Population (Venezuela 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Babies (Venezuela 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Children (Venezuela 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young Teens And Older Children (Venezuela 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young People (Venezuela 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Venezuela 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: 21yrs + (Venezuela 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young Adults (Venezuela 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Middle Aged (Venezuela 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Urban (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Latin America Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Latin America Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q116
Venezuela - Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Malls And Department Stores
Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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