Turkey Retail Report Q4 2016

Date: September 14, 2016
Pages: 63
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: T319138607CEN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Turkey's retail industry benefits from a large urban population that is enjoying steadily rising incomes. Over our five-year forecast period to 2020 we expect economic growth to be fairly slow but steady, averaging 3.3% a year. This growth will support a rise in net household incomes from USD12,375 in 2016 to USD15,049 by 2020. However, in the medium term the retail sector will be held back by political and security concerns that will dampen both investor and consumer confidence, and that have already damaged Turkey's tourism industry. In the long term, though, significant opportunities will remain, particularly as retailers expand into second-tier cities.

Key Views And Developments

Total household spending is set to fall by 1.8% y-o-y in US dollar terms in 2016, although it will continue growing in lira terms, as the currency weakens against the dollar. However, over the rest of our forecast period to 2020 growth will pick up, growing by an average of 5.63% a year in US dollar terms.
BMI Industry View
Retail SWOT
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
  Table: Total Household Spending (Turkey 2013-2020)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Turkey 2013-2020)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of GDP (Turkey 2013-2020)
  Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Turkey 2013-2020)
Retail Sector Forecast
Food And Drink
  Table: Food, Drink And Tobacco Spending (Turkey 2013-2020)
Clothing And Footwear
  Table: Clothing And Footwear Spending (Turkey 2013-2020)
Household Goods
  Table: Household Goods Spending (Turkey 2013-2020)
Personal Care And Effects
  Table: Personal Care Spending (Turkey 2013-2020)
Household Numbers And Income Forecast
  Table: Household Income Data (Turkey 2013-2020)
  Table: Labour Market Data, 2013-2020
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Total Population (Turkey 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Babies (Turkey 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Children (Turkey 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Children (Turkey 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Teens And Older Children (Turkey 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young People (Turkey 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Turkey 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: 21 Years Plus (Turkey 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Adults (Turkey 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Middle Aged (Turkey 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Urban/Rural (Turkey 2013-2020)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416
Turkey Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Clothing And Footwear
  Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers
Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement
  Table: Selected Household Goods, Homeware And Home Improvement Retailers
  Table: Selected Electronics Retailers
Department Stores
  Table: Selected Department stores
  Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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