South Africa Retail Report Q4 2015

Date: September 30, 2015
Pages: 64
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: S57BF779F54EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Economic troubles have taken South Africa's economy to the brink of recession, however, there has been renewed hope for the retail sector due to steady growth in retail sales at the start of the summer. There has been continued modernisation of the country's urban retail real estate sector and this is helping to attract international retail groups who are keen to cater to the country's expanding middle class. Both H&M and Krispy Kreme will make their entry into the South African market during the final quarter. Nevertheless, high levels of unemployment will continue to prevent income growth in a large portion of the population and this will hold back further opportunities for large retailers.

Recession looms in South Africa as we enter the final quarter of the year. The economy shrank by 1.3% during the second quarter, however, the economy has shown some sign of improvement during the summer of 2015. This was illustrated by the fact that Power utility company, Eskom marked 30 straight days without imposing rolling power cuts during August. A more stable power supply will be important in ensuring the decline in growth does not continue into the next quarter and this will help elevate both consumer and business confidence. Nonetheless- additional headwinds will linger from the country's endemic level of unemployment, which stands at 24.2%.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
  Table: Total Household Spending (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (South Africa 2012-2019)
Retail Sector Forecast
Food, Drink & Tobacco
  Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (South Africa 2012-2019)
Clothing & Footwear
  Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (South Africa 2012-2019)
Household Goods
  Table: Household Goods Spending (South Africa 2012-2019)
Personal Care and Effects
  Table: Personal Care Spending (South Africa 2012-2019)
Household Numbers And Income Forecast
  Table: Household Income Data (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Labour Market Data (South Africa 2012-2019)
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Total Population (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Babies (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young Children (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Children (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young People (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Older Teenagers (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: 21yrs + (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young Adults (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Middle Aged (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Urban (South Africa 2012-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: Economic Activity (South Africa 2010-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Sub-Saharan Africa - Retail Risk/Reward Index
South Africa - Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Mass Grocery Retail remains strong
Department Stores
Growing Attraction Of Luxury Brands
Increasing Growth Within E-Commerce
Competitive Landscape
Department Store Groups
Mass Grocery Retail (MGR)
Consumer Electronics
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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South Africa Retail Report Q1 2016 US$ 1,295.00 Jan, 2016 · 62 pages
South Africa Retail Report Q2 2016 US$ 1,295.00 Apr, 2016 · 64 pages
South Africa Retail Report Q3 2016 US$ 1,295.00 Jul, 2016 · 66 pages

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