South Africa Retail Report Q3 2016

Date: July 6, 2016
Pages: 66
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: South African retailers face an extremely challenging 2016, as the country's ongoing economic malaise combines with new affordability rules, limiting retailers' ability to provide easy in-store credit. Despite this, over the medium-to-long term the outlook is brighter, as the economy slowly recovers and the crucial 20-39 year old demographic increases its population share. This segment of society is particularly important for fashion brands, given their high brand awareness. Moreover, an expanding middle-income population will assist retail growth across market segments in the long term.

Key Views & Developments
  • Confidence of South African retailers fell to a 15-year low in Q216, with just 26% stating they were satisfied with prevailing business conditions, according to the Bureau for Economic Research. This is down from 44% in Q116.
  • The Mall of Africa is set to reach, or even surpass, its first year turnover forecast of ZAR2.6bn (USD176mn). According to the Mall of Africa the key stores driving turnover were Woolworths, Checkers, Edgars, Game and DionWired.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
  Table: Total Household Spending (South Africa 2013-2020)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (South Africa 2013-2020)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (South Africa 2013-2020)
  Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (South Africa 2013-2020)
Retail Sector Forecast
Food, Drink & Tobacco
  Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (South Africa 2013-2020)
Clothing & Footwear
  Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (South Africa 2013-2020)
Household Goods
  Table: Household Goods Spending (South Africa 2013-2020)
Personal Care & Effects
  Table: Personal Care Spending (South Africa 2013-2020)
Household Numbers And Income Forecast
  Table: Household Income Data (South Africa 2013-2020)
  Table: Labour Market Data (South Africa 2013-2020)
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Total Population (South Africa 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Babies (South Africa 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Children (South Africa 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Children (South Africa 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (South Africa 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young People (South Africa 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Older Teenagers (South Africa 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: 21yrs + (South Africa 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Adults (South Africa 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Middle Aged (South Africa 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Urban (South Africa 2013-2020)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316
South Africa - Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Clothing And Footwear
  Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers
Household Goods/ Homeware
  Table: Selected Household Goods/ Homeware Retailers
  Table: Selected Electronics Retailers
Department Stores
  Table: Selected Department Stores
  Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers
  Table: Selected Pharmacies
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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