South Africa Retail Report Q1 2016

Date: January 13, 2016
Pages: 62
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Despite South Africa's ongoing economic and power supply problems, the retail sector remains confident and plans for the development of many more shopping malls shows no sign of abatement. Continued modernisation of the country's urban retail real estate sector is helping to attract international retail groups who are keen to cater to the country's expanding middle class. Following Krispy Kreme's launch in Johannesburg in Q415, US-based competitor Dunkin Donuts has also expressed an interest in the market and coffee giant Starbucks aims to make its entry into the South African market in the first half of 2016.

Although recession in South Africa is a possibility as we enter 2016, this is not our core view. The economy shrank by 1.3% during the second quarter; however, the economy has shown some sign of improvement during the summer of 2015. This was illustrated by the fact that Power utility company, Eskom marked five weeks by mid-September without load shedding. A more stable power supply will be important in ensuring the decline in growth does not continue in the short term and this will help elevate both consumer and business confidence. Nonetheless- additional headwinds will linger from the country's endemic level of unemployment, which stands at 24.2%.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
  Table: Total Household Spending (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (South Africa 2012-2019)
Retail Sector Forecast
Food, Drink & Tobacco
  Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (South Africa 2012-2019)
Clothing & Footwear
  Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (South Africa 2012-2019)
Household Goods
  Table: Household Goods Spending (South Africa 2012-2019)
Personal Care And Effects
  Table: Personal Care Spending (South Africa 2012-2019)
Household Numbers And Income Forecast
  Table: Household Income Data (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Labour Market Data (South Africa 2012-2019)
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Total Population (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Babies (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young Children (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Children (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young People (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Older Teenagers (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: 21yrs + (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young Adults (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Middle Aged (South Africa 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Urban (South Africa 2012-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
  Table: Economic Activity (South Africa 2010-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q116
South Africa - Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Mass Grocery Retail
Department Stores
Competitive Landscape
Department Store Groups
Mass Grocery Retail (MGR)
Consumer Electronics
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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