Serbia Retail Report Q3 2016

Date: July 6, 2016
Pages: 63
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: S014C2162CFEN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The Serbian economy will continue to recover from the 2014 recession in the coming two years, aided by Prime Minister Aleksandar Vucic's credible market-friendly and structural reform of the public sector, along with the prospects of EU accession providing a policy anchor for the Serbian government. With a decrease in the unemployment rate and growth in household income, indications for retail growth remain promising.

Key Views And Developments
  • While we maintain a cautious outlook for the Serbian retail sector, we expect strengthening household spending to show from 2017 across our forecast period to 2020. In 2016, total household spending is forecast to show almost a 3% contraction in US dollar terms but then to grow again by 6.6% in 2017, reaching 7.3% in 2020.
  • The total population will decrease by an average of 0.4% annually over the forecast period - one of the fastest rates in the region.
BMI Industry View
Retail SWOT
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
  Table: Total Household Spending (Serbia 2013-2020)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Serbia 2013-2020)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Serbia 2013-2020)
  Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Serbia 2013-2020)
Retail Sector Forecast
Food, Drink & Tobacco
  Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Serbia 2013-2020)
Clothing & Footwear
  Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Serbia 2013-2020)
Household Goods
  Table: Household Goods Spending (Serbia, 2012-2019)
Household Numbers And Income Forecast
  Table: Household Income Data (Serbia 2013-2020)
  Table: Labour Market Data (Serbia 2013-2020)
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Total Population (Serbia 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Children (Serbia 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Children (Serbia 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Serbia 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young People (Serbia 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Serbia 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Adults (Serbia 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Middle Aged (Serbia 2013-2020)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q316
Serbia Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Clothing & Footwear
  Table: Selected Clothing & Footwear Retailers
Household Goods
  Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers
  Table: Selected Electronics Retailers
Department Stores
  Table: Selected Department Store Retailers
  Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers
  Table: Selected Pharmacies Retailers
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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