Saudi Arabia Retail Report Q2 2016

Date: March 16, 2016
Pages: 63
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Saudi Arabia contains strong fundamentals for sustained growth in the retail sector over the medium-term, but the recent slump in oil prices will weigh on the economic growth and government spending in 2016. This has prompted a downward revision to our 2016 household expenditure growth in the retail sector from 8.1% to 7.8%.

Key Views & Developments
  • Our Country Risks team has recently revised down Saudi Arabia's growth forecasts for 2016 and 2017 reflecting the economically disruptive nature of the government's 2016 budget and the further collapse in global energy prices. The economic headwinds are expected to have a negative effect on the retail sector, as illustrated by point-of-sale transactions, which growth has slowed from the high of 42.5% in February 2015 to just 6.5% at the end of 2015.
  • Numerous government subsidy cuts on fuel, water, electricity, ethane and gas will raise consumer price inflation levels from 2.2% in 2015 to 3.5% in 2016 and 4.0% in 2017. Regional plans to introduce valueadded tax from 2018 onwards pose a further risk to our forecast. This could negatively affect household spending, especially in the non-essentials category.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
  Table: Total Household Spending (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
  Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
Retail Sector Forecast
Food, Drink & Tobacco
  Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
Clothing & Footwear
  Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
Household Goods
  Table: Household Goods Spending (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
Personal Care
  Table: Personal Care Spending (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
Household Numbers And Income Forecast
  Table: Household Income Data (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
  Table: Labour Market Data (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Total Population (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Babies (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Children (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Children (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young People (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: 21yrs + (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Adults (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Middle Aged (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Urban (Saudi Arabia 2013-2020)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Middle East And North Africa Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Middle East And North Africa Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q216
Saudi Arabia Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Major Clothing And Footwear Retailers
  Table: Major Household Goods Retailers
  Table: Major Electronics Retailers
  Table: Major Department Stores Retailers
  Table: Major E-Commerce Retailers
  Table: Major Pharmacies Retailers
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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