Israel Retail Report Q1 2016

Date: November 25, 2015
Pages: 70
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: I7A53333705EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Israel's retailers will benefit from growing household incomes in the next four years, which will stimulate all retail sub-sectors, mostly housing and education. Meanwhile, groceries and non-essentials spending will grow slower than the overall retail sector. Security risks will harm sales early in the forecast period as consumers begin avoiding unnecessary shopping, however, we expect the situation to stabilize and improve in the medium term.

We are currently forecasting real GDP growth of 2.6% over 2015, down from 2.8% recorded during 2014 and this will accelerate to 3.4% in 2016. While we forecast the economic growth to remain stable, pressure on the currency is key and this will result in a projected drop in spending (in USD terms) from USD125bn to USD122bn in the retail sector most of which can be attributed to currency fluctuation rather than a decline in demand. However, we do expect a swift recovery of household incomes and spending, both in shekel and dollar terms over forecast period. Net household income is estimated to grow by 6.4% annually on average throughout the forecast period, which will shift some household spending patterns.
BMI Industry View
Retail SWOT
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
  Table: Total Household Spending (Israel 2012-2019)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Israel 2012-2019)
  Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Israel 2012-2019)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Israel 2012-2019)
Retail Sector Forecast
Food, Drink & Tobacco
  Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Israel 2012-2019)
Clothing & Footwear
  Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Israel 2012-2019)
Household Goods
  Table: Household Goods Spending (Israel 2012-2019)
Personal Care
  Table: Personal Care Spending (Israel 2012-2019)
Household Numbers And Income Forecast
  Table: Household Income Data (Israel 2012-2019)
  Table: Labour Market Data (Israel 2012-2019)
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Total Population (Israel 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Babies (Israel 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young Children (Israel 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Children (Israel 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Israel 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young People (Israel 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Israel 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: 21yrs + (Israel 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young Adults (Israel 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Middle Aged (Israel 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Urban (Israel 2012-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Israel - Private Consumption And Exports To Drive Growth Acceleration
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
  Table: Private Consumption Forecasts
  Table: Government Consumption Forecasts
  Table: Fixed Investment Forecasts
  Table: Net Exports Forecast
Industry Risk Reward Index
Middle East And North Africa Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Middle East And North Africa Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q116
Israel Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Department Stores
Mass Grocery Retail
Consumer Electronics
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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