Hong Kong Retail Report Q4 2016

Date: July 27, 2016
Pages: 65
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)
ID: H948522813CEN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Retail sales in Hong Kong have been declining for several quarters in a row, mostly on account of declining tourist arrivals from Mainland China. Struggling residential real estate market and poor external demand present additional headwinds, which will continue weighing on Hong Kong's economic and retail sector's performance over the coming year. As a result, we forecast 2016 total household spending growth to record the lowest levels since 2011.

Key Views And Developments
  • Overall household spending is forecast to average 5.1% growth during 2016-2020. Alcoholic drinks and tobacco sector is expected to register the strongest. Nonetheless, the sector will still account for a relatively small 1.6% share in the total household spending pie.
  • Supported by rising household incomes and tourism, total spending share on non-essential goods and services will increase from 48.8% in 2015 to 49.9% in 2020. Personal, insurance & other will remain the largest and the second-fastest growing category in terms of household expenditure.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
  Table: Total Household Spending (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
  Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Retail Sub-Sector Forecast
Food, Drink & Tobacco
  Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Clothing & Footwear
  Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Household Goods
  Table: Household Goods Spending (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Personal Care And Effects
  Table: Personal Care And Effects Spending (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Household Numbers And Income Forecast
  Table: Household Income Data (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
  Table: Labour Market Data (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Total Population (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Babies (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Children (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Children (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young People (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: 21yrs + (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Adults (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Middle Aged (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Urban (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416
Hong Kong Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Latest Updates
Competitive Landscape
Clothing & Footwear
  Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers
Furniture, Homeware & Home Improvement
  Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers
  Table: Selected Electronics Retailers
Department Stores
  Table: Selected Department Stores
  Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers And Online Marketplaces
  Table: Selected Pharmacies
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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Hong Kong Retail Report Q1 2016 US$ 1,295.00 Nov, 2015 · 64 pages
Hong Kong Retail Report Q3 2016 US$ 1,295.00 May, 2016 · 61 pages

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