Croatia Retail Report Q1 2016

Date: January 20, 2016
Pages: 64
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: CA20F50A016EN

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Croatia's economy has finally emerged from a six-year long recession; however, economic conditions have yet to fully recover.

Retailers should only expect to see significant improvements during the second half of our forecast period.

The country continues to struggle with high levels of unemployment and relatively lacklustre economic growth and this will ensure that opportunities remain somewhat limited.

Despite this, Croatia is still home to numerous retail expansion and consolidation opportunities in the long term.

Croatia's economy is on the road to recovery.

Having contracted for six consecutive years, the country's real GDP is on track to post 0.3% growth in 2015 and we forecast this to improve to 1.0% by 2016, the first signs of growth during its membership within the EU.

While more reassuring expansion is projected for the rest of the forecast period, Croatia will have to grapple with major structural economic problems in order for the retail industry to expand.

The high levels of unemployment remain perhaps one of the biggest hurdles for the retail industry.

The rate stands at 17.0% (rising to as many as 45.0% for young people).

As a result, real household incomes have stagnated, with many young people depending either on the state or on their parents for income.

Young adults are typically a lucrative market segment for retailers, however in Croatia, this demographic group offer limited opportunities for sales growth.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
  Table: Total Household Spending (Croatia 2012-2019)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Croatia 2012-2019)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Croatia 2012-2019)
  Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Croatia 2012-2019)
Retail Sector Forecast
Food, Drink & Tobacco
  Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Croatia 2012-2019)
Clothing & Footwear
  Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Croatia 2012-2019)
Household Goods
  Table: Household Goods Spending (Croatia 2012-2019)
Personal Care and Effects
  Table: Personal Care Spending (Croatia 2012-2019)
Household Numbers and Income Forecast
  Table: Household Income Data (Croatia 2012-2019)
  Table: Labour Market Data (Croatia 2012-2019)
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Total Population (Croatia 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Babies (Croatia 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young Children (Croatia 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Children (Croatia 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Croatia 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young People (Croatia 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Croatia 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: 21yrs + (Croatia 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Young Adults (Croatia 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Middle Aged (Croatia 2012-2019)
  Table: Population: Urban (Croatia 2012-2019)
Economic Analysis
  Table: Economic Activity (Croatia 2010-2019)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q116
Croatia Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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