Bulgaria Retail Report Q2 2016

Date: April 27, 2016
Pages: 58
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Growth in Bulgaria's retail market will strengthen over the coming year, in line with the gradually brightening economic situation in the country. Consumers will benefit from low energy prices, subdued inflation as well as falling unemployment. That said, the recovery will remain slow and gradual, while a number of structural factors, such as negative demographic trends or widespread poverty, will continue to constrain full market potential.

Key Views & Developments
  • Strengthening economic outlook bodes well for the country's retail industry. Our Country Risk team has recently upgraded the country's 2016 GDP growth forecast to 2.8% (up from a previous forecast of 1.7%). Over the short term, consumers will benefit from subdued inflation, low energy prices and falling unemployment.
  • Retail sales in Bulgaria increased by 1.3% year-on-year (y-o-y). This marked a slight slowdown from the 2.7% y-o-y growth recorded in December 2015.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
  Table: Total Household Spending (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending,% Of Total (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending,% of GDP (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
  Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
Retail Sector Forecast
Food, Drink & Tobacco
  Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
Clothing & Footwear
  Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
Household Goods
  Table: Household Goods Spending (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
Household Numbers And Income Forecast
  Table: Household Income Data (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
  Table: Labour Market Data (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Total Population (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Babies (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Children (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Children (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young People (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: 21yrs + (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Adults (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Middle Aged (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Urban (Bulgaria 2013-2020)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q216
Bulgaria Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Clothing & Footwear
  Table: Selected Clothing & Footwear Retailers
Household Goods
  Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers
  Table: Selected Electronics Retailers
Department Stores
  Table: Selected Department Stores Retailers
  Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers
  Table: Selected Pharmacies Retailers
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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