Brazil Retail Report Q4 2016

Date: August 31, 2016
Pages: 64
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Brazil is in the midst of the largest economic and political crisis in more than a decade. This is having an adverse impact on household incomes and consumer confidence. While a gradual recovery is expected to start in 2017, a weak labour market, elevated inflation and reduced access to consumer credit will continue weighing on the country's retail sector over the near term. As such, we expect consumer spending to remain concentrated on essential goods and services, with the preferences geared towards lower-range product categories across the board.

Key Views & Developments
  • In USD terms, headline household spending is forecast to decline by 23.7% in 2016, negatively affected by the depreciation of Brazilian real against the US dollar as well as the protracted economic recession in the country. In local currency, terms total household spending is expected to register 5.3% growth during 2016. We forecast total household spending to rebound during 2017-2020, expanding by an annual average 8.3% in USD terms.
  • We expect transport and food & non-alcoholic drinks to remain the two largest spending categories, accounting for 20.1% and 17.4% of the total expenditure respectively in 2020.
BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Brazil 2013-2020)
  Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Brazil 2013-2020)
  Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Brazil 2013-2020)
Retail Sector Forecast
Food, Drink And Tobacco
  Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Brazil 2013-2020)
Clothing And Footwear
  Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Brazil 2013-2020)
Household Goods
  Table: Household Goods Spending (Brazil 2013-2020)
Personal Care
  Table: Personal Care Spending (Brazil 2013-2020)
Household Numbers And Income Forecast
  Table: Household Income Data (Brazil 2013-2020)
  Table: Labour Market Data (Brazil 2013-2020)
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Total Population (Brazil 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Babies (Brazil 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Children (Brazil 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Children (Brazil 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Brazil 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young People (Brazil 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Brazil 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: 21yrs + (Brazil 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Young Adults (Brazil 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Middle Aged (Brazil 2013-2020)
  Table: Population: Urban (Brazil 2013-2020)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Latin America And The Caribbean Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Latin America And The Caribbean Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q416
Brazil - Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Latest Updates
Competitive Landscape
Clothing And Footwear
  Table: Selected Clothing And Footwear Retailers
Household Goods
  Table: Selected Household Goods Retailers
  Table: Selected Electronics Retailers
Department Stores
  Table: Selected Department Stores
  Table: Selected E-Commerce Retailers
  Table: Selected Pharmacies/ Drugstores
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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