Venezuela Food and Drink Report Q4 2015

Date: October 7, 2015
Pages: 109
Price:
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: BMI RESEARCH
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: VE1841F873BEN
Leaflet:

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: In view of the substantial headwinds facing the Venezuelan economy, we have downgraded our real GDP forecasts for the country for 2015 and 2016, seeing contractions of 5.6% and 2.9% respectively. The economy's outlook will continue to be dimmed by poor macroeconomic governance, high inflation, low oil prices and significant political uncertainty. We expect household consumption to continue to be constrained by high inflation - which has substantially eroded purchasing power (we forecast headline consumer price inflation of 78.3% y-o-y for 2015) - and government price controls, which create market inefficiencies that significantly reduce productivity (and, by extension, income). As a result, food consumption will suffer in US dollar terms over the short term.

Headline Industry Data (US dollar terms):
  • Per capita food consumption compound annual growth rate (CAGR) forecast 2014 to 2019 = -14.0%.
  • Alcoholic drink sales CAGR forecast 2014 to 2019 = +9.0%.
  • Soft drink sales CAGR forecast 2014 to 2019 = +9.1%.
  • Mass grocery retail sales CAGR forecast 2014 to 2019 = -13.3%.
BMI Industry View
SWOT
Food
Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast
Consumer Outlook
Food
Food Consumption
  Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Confectionery
  Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Drink
Alcoholic Drinks
  Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Soft Drinks
  Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Hot Drinks
  Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Mass Grocery Retail
  Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Venezuela 2012-2019)
  Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type
Trade
  Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts (Venezuela 2012-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecast
Economic Analysis
Industry Risk Reward Index
Latin America - Risk/Reward Index
  Table: Latin America Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Q415
  Table: Latin America Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Index Q415 (scores out of 10)
Venezuela Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Food
Food Production
Confectionery
Agriculture
Dairy
Meat
Seafood
Drink
Alcoholic Drinks
Soft Drinks
Hot Drinks
Mass Grocery Retail
  Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number of Outlets (Venezuela 2006-2011)
  Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Venezuela 2006-2011)
  Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Venezuela 2006-2011)
Industry Trends And Developments
Food
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Drink
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Mass Grocery Retail
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Key Players In Venezuela's Food Sector
  Table: Key Players In Venezuela's Drink Sector
  Table: Key Players In Venezuela's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Company Profile
Alimentos Heinz
Cargill Venezuela
Coca-Cola FEMSA
Diageo de Venezuela
Empresas Polar
Makro Venezuela
Mercal CA
Pernod Ricard Venezuela
Global Industry Overview
  Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry
  Table: Boston Beer Company, Ab Inbev, Heineken And Sabmiller - Selected Trailing Return And Efficiency Ratios
  Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q215 Roundup
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook 2015
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Venezuela 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Venezuela 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Venezuela 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Venezuela 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Venezuela 1990-2025)
Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting
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