Slovenia Food and Drink Report Q3 2012

Date: June 19, 2012
Pages: 113
US$ 1,175.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

On account of unfavourable domestic and external conditions, we do not envisage a pick-up in Slovenia’s levels of consumer confidence in the course of 2012. Ongoing deleveraging at the household and corporate level and stubbornly high unemployment (expected to rise to 12.9% by the end of 2012) mean operating conditions for many food and drink companies are still very challenging, with higher-end sectors finding things particularly tough. We have also recently downgraded Slovenia's 2012 real GDP growth forecast, expecting the economy to slip into recession.

Headline Industry Data(local currency)
  • 2012 per capita food consumption: +0.46%; forecast compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to 2016: +1.10%
  • 2012 alcoholic drinks value sales: +1.82%; forecast CAGR to 2016: +3.24%
  • 2012 soft drinks value sales: +1.27%; forecast CAGR to 2016: +1.85%
  • 2012 mass grocery retail sales: +4.39%; forecast CAGR to 2016: +5.24%

Key Company Trends

Slovenian Fruit Producers Consolidating: In February 2012, Slovenia-based fruit company Evrosad d.o.o. acquired the country's second biggest fruit company, Sadjarstvo Jeruzalem Ormož. Evrosad now has 140 new hectares (ha) of cultivated land, taking its total land ownership to 625 hectares. The company's main produce are apples, which it are distributes across Slovenia and also exported as far as Scandinavia, Russia and the Baltics.

Nectars Increases Its Stake in Fructal: A 93.73% stake in the soft drinks division of leading Slovenian brewer Pivovarna Laško was in mid-2011 sold to Serbian juice producer Nectar. The latter further increased its stake in the Slovenian company in February 2012, now being in possession of 97.79% of its equity. Nectar appears committed to the continuation of Fructal’s local operations, including the modernisation of its two plants. Nectar is expected to achieve some EUR140mn in Slovenian sales.

Key Risks To Outlook

Downside Risks Prevail: We hold to our view that our forecast are at risk due to the precarious state of the country’s economy and external headwinds, which is expected to dip into recessionary territory in the course of 2012. On the inflation front, we reiterate that major inflationary pressures are unlikely to build over the medium term in Slovenia, given the weak state of the domestic economy, weak domestic demand, the onset of greater fiscal austerity this year and the precarious nature of the eurozone economy.
BMI Industry View
SWOT Analysis
Slovenia Food Industry SWOT
Slovenia Drink Industry SWOT
Slovenia Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
Business Environment
BMI’s Core Global Industry Views
  Table: BMI’s Core Views
CEE Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings
  Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Ratings, Q312 (scores out of 10)
  Table: CEE Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings, Q312
Slovenia’s Food & Drink Business Environment Rating
Macroeconomic Outlook
  Table: Slovenia – Economic Activity
Industry Forecast Scenario
Consumer Outlook
Food Consumption
  Table: Slovenia Food Consumption Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts
  Table: Confectionery
Canned And Packaged Food
  Table: Canned Food
  Table: Meat
  Table: Jams And Jellies
  Table: Pasta
  Table: Snack Foods
  Table: Dairy
Alcoholic Drinks
  Table: Alcoholic Drinks
Soft Drinks
  Table: Soft drinks
Hot Drinks
  Table: Hot Drinks
  Table: Sectoral trade indicators – Export, Import and Balance Value – Historical Data and Forecasts
Mass Grocery Retail
  Table: Slovenia Mass Grocery Retail – Value Sales by Format – Historical Data & Forecasts
  Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type (% of total)
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Israeli Frutarom Continues Europe Expansion
Regional and Domestic Consolidation Continues
Market Overview
Food Production
Food Consumption
Canned Food
Key Industry Trends And Developments
Leading Brewer Cutting Losses
Serbian Nectar Taking Over Slovenian Fructal
Increased Focus On Foreign Sales
Market Overview
Alcoholic Drinks
Soft Drinks
Hot Drinks
Mass Grocery Retail
Key Industry Trends and Developments
Mercator Expanding Regionally
Croatian Agrokor Muscling In On Mercator
Tus Holding Divesting Of Its Serbian Business To Pay Debts
Market Overview
  Table: Slovenia Structure of the Mass Grocery Retail Market by Number of Outlets
  Table: Slovenia Structure of the mass retail grocery market by value
  Table: Slovenia Estimated value of sales per outlet format (2011)
Competitive Landscape
  Table: Key Players – Slovenia's Food Market, 2010
  Table: Key Players – Slovenia's Drink Market, 2010
  Table: Key Players – Slovenia's Mass Retail Grocery Market, 2010
Company Monitor
Perutnina Ptuj
Droga Kolinska (Atlantic Grupa)
Ljubljanske mlekarne
ETA zivilska industrija d.d.
Coca-Cola HBC Slovenia
Pivovarna Lasko
Mass Grocery Retail
SPAR Slovenija
Demographic Outlook
  Table: Slovenia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020, 1990-2020 ('000)
  Table: Slovenia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
  Table: Slovenia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
  Table: Slovenia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
BMI Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
  Table: Rewards
  Table: Risks
  Table: Weighting
BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
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