Brazil Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

Date: December 16, 2015
Pages: 73
Price:
US$ 1,295.00
Publisher: BMI RESEARCH
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: Download
ID: B8EA21B985EEN
Leaflet:

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We expect steady if lacklustre growth in Brazil's freight sector in the coming years, with tepid increases in mining and agricultural output ensuring demand remains elevated. We caution that a more robust expansion will be prevented by a slowdown in the consumer sector, weak global commodities and a lacklustre external picture. As a result, we expect the road and rail sector will display the largest gains. Brazil's economy will remain in recession in 2016 after dipping below zero in 2015, for the first time in seven years. We forecast real GDP to contract by -0.8% in 2016 following a contraction of -2.7% in 2015.

Major headwinds to private consumption and a fixed investment via a slow resolution of the corruption scandal at national oil company Petrobras will be the primary driver of the slowdown, with unemployment reaching 10-year highs and the country's investment attractiveness significantly deteriorated.
BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
  Table: Trade Overview (Brazil 2012-2019)
  Table: Key Trade Indicators (Brazil 2012-2019)
  Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
  Table: Road Freight (Brazil 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
  Table: Rail Freight (Brazil 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
  Table: Air Freight (Brazil 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
EcoRodovias
LATAM Cargo
Santos Brasil ParticipaƧƵes
Vale (Logistics)
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Long Term Political Outlook
  Table: Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025)
  Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025)
  Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025)
  Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
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