Mexico Renewables Report Q4 2016

Date: September 14, 2016
Pages: 45
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF)

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Our optimistic outlook for Mexico's non-hydro renewables industry is underpinned by the country's strong commitment to developing renewable energy sources, large project pipeline and sound industry fundamentals. Growth will be driven primarily by the wind and solar sectors, with smaller contributions coming from geothermal and biomass projects. We note that continuously declining electricity prices in Mexico present a downside risk to our forecasts, as they may gradually erode renewables' competitiveness relative to traditional thermal generation sources.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends
  • This quarter, we have maintained our forecasts for Mexico's non-hydro renewables industry. Supported by strong industry and country-specific fundamentals, we forecast non-hydro renewables capacity to average 15.5% growth during 2016-2025, reaching a total of 18.6GW. By 2025, we believe non-hydro renewables' share in the country's total generation capacity will reach 10.4%, up from 4.2%.
  • We hold our view that wind power will be the technology of choice in Mexico's non-hydro renewables industry. The wind sector is set to grow at the fastest pace (in absolute terms) over the coming decade, accounting for more than 58% of total non-hydro renewables generation and nearly 72% of total capacity by 2025.
BMI Industry View
  Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (Mexico 2015-2021)
Industry Forecast
Mexico Renewables Forecast Scenario
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
  Table: Solar Power Projects Contracted At Mexico's First Power Auction
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019)
  Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2020-2025)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019)
  Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mexico 2020-2025)
Mexico Renewables Projects Database
  Table: Mexico - Top 10 Renewables Projects By Capacity (MW)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Mexico Renewables Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Sustainable Energy Policy and Infrastructure
Competitive Landscape
Comisión Federal de Electricidad
Acciona Energia Mexico
Gamesa Corporación Technólgica
Vestas Wind Systems
  Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
  Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators
  Table: Weighting Indicators
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