Hong Kong Real Estate Report Q3 2014

Date: May 14, 2014
Pages: 69
US$ 1,295.00
Report type: Strategic Report
Delivery: E-mail Delivery (PDF), Download

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Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Despite suffering the effects of the financial downturn, Hong Kong remains one of the most competitive commercial real estate markets in the world, with few locations able to rival the city in terms of price and demand for prime office, retail and industrial space. In 2014, a buoyant local economy and limited supply are expected to maintain a steady market balance, though we caution that the sector faces a number of potential headwinds, resulting from the slowdown in neighbouring China. The report, with a focus on Hong Kong's commercial office, retail and industrial sectors, covers rental market performance in terms of rates and yields over the past few years, as well as providing rental rate and net yield forecasts to 2018. BMI's in-depth analysis for each of these sectors also incorporates reports fed back to us from our in-country research teams and provides a snap-shot of the health of each market.

Robust growth in the Hong Kong economy will provide the platform for further stabilisation in the country's commercial real estate market after a period of fluctuating demand and rental rates following the 2008/09 financial crisis. Real GDP growth was estimated at 2.8% in 2013 and the economy is forecast to grow by 3.0% over 2014. Over the forecast period to 2018, average growth of 3.6% is expected, bolstered by spending growth from tourist arrivals and a highly urbanised population.
BMI Industry View
Key BMI Forecasts
Recent Developments
Business Environment
Industry Forecast
  Table: Office Forecast Rents - (USD a m2/month)
  Table: Office Forecast Net Yield, 2011-2018 (%)
  Table: Retail Forecast Rents - (USD per m2/month)
  Table: Retail Forecast Net Yield, 2011-2018 (%)
  Table: Industrial Forecast Rents - (USD per m2/month)
  Table: Industrial Forecast Net Yield, 2011-2018 (%)
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
  Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Hong Kong 2012-2017)
  Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Hong Kong 2018-2023)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
External Trade Not What It Seems
Property Correction Informs Below Consensus Forecast
Expenditure Breakdown
  Table: Hong Kong - Economic Activity
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Asia - Risk/Reward Ratings
  Table: Asia Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings
Hong Kong - Risk/Reward Ratings
Market Overview
  Table: Historic Rents - 2012-2013 (HKD per m2/month
  Table: Net Yield, 2012-2014 (%)
  Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases - H213
  Table: Historic Rents - 2012-2013 (HKD per m2/month)
  Table: Net Yield, 2012-2014 (%)
  Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases - H213
  Table: Historic Rents - 2012-2014 (USD per m2/month)
  Table: Net Yield, 2012-2014 (%)
  Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases - H213
Competitive Landscape
Real Estate
Construction Companies
Company Profile
Cheung Kong (Holdings)
Chinese Estates Group
Henderson Land Development
Sino Group
Sun Hung Kai Properties
Demographic Forecast
  Table: Hong Kong's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
  Table: Hong Kong's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
  Table: Hong Kong's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
  Table: Hong Kong's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
  Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
  Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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